NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe58c03fdfd0d3b502ff008776e2aadff7a154729d4823501397538d2d20b7122
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Hawks, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Wizards | 33c | 2,997$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.06 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Hawks | 72c | 2,915$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.29 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Wizards | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Wizards | 35c | 1,374$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.38 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Hawks | 67c | 1,233$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.22 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Hawks | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Wizards | 44c | 900.03$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.03 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bd…48d1backed Hawks | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Wizards | 35c | 400.32$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.25 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Wizards | 34c | 399.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Hawks | 64c | 285.27$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.15 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed Wizards | 38c | 285$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +75%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…5d66backed Wizards | 25c | 213.58$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.08 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Hawks | 65c | 202$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.88 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…6176backed Hawks | 25c | 179.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed Hawks | 60c | 159.46$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.79 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked Hawks | 64c | 155$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed Wizards | 36c | 155$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b12…30d8backed Hawks | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565b…fa9bbacked Hawks | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbd…5d02backed Wizards | 39c | 130.77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.77 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Wizards | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…7a25backed Hawks | 64c | 75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Wizards | 35c | 70.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Hawks | 63c | 70$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…1a3ebacked Hawks | 76c | 65.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb8…9ab0backed Hawks | 62c | 64.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8af…f391backed Wizards | 36c | 63.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +33%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…6dfdbacked Wizards | 34c | 62.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Hawks | 66c | 53.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 306 | 48.7%149 W · 157 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Wizards | 35c | 51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0615…5c47backed Wizards | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 138 | 23.2%32 W · 106 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Wizards | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…f899backed Wizards | 37c | 47.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcab1…b2b1backed Hawks | 70c | 42.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 65cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f3…a05ebacked Wizards | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2190…36babacked Wizards | 36c | 42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed Wizards | 46c | 40.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbce…1512backed Wizards | 40c | 40.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e5…316dbacked Wizards | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d3…7a61backed Hawks | 79c | 39.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…16fbbacked Hawks | 63c | 38.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 178 | 46.1%82 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Wizards | 35c | 37.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8e…5fbbbacked Wizards | 39c | 36.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +154%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4450…4d00backed Hawks | 66c | 36.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Hawks | 63c | 32.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6577…2effbacked Wizards | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Hawks | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfb…345abacked Hawks | 65c | 26.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fadabacked Hawks | 66c | 24.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…188bbacked Hawks | 62c | 22.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 186 | 28%52 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea91…54c4backed Hawks | 66c | 21.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…3c94backed Wizards | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f3…253ebacked Hawks | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…272ebacked Hawks | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ad…2d59backed Hawks | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…8c81backed Hawks | 65c | 19.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Hawks | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.