Tennis · resolved market
Will Elena Rybakina win Wimbledon Women's?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x460e096f1f430bfc8cf3500e008788ea7793ae1ffd8651e1310dc8f11a194d20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 58c | 2,319$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.76 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 33c | 1,040$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.34 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…0c2ebacked Yes | 66c | 470$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65f2…b488backed Yes | 51c | 310.73$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.13 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 42c | 250$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Yes | 29c | 250$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade0…dbacbacked Yes | 45c | 250$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…eb52backed Yes | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 43c | 222$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.35 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 71c | 191.8$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.62 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…becdbacked Yes | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed No | 32c | 147.06$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed No | 57c | 69.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Yes | 44c | 56.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8024…ba91backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca69…0609backed Yes | 35c | 39.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…47afbacked Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4981…05e6backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 55c | 26.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…4d83backed No | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elena Rybakina win Wimbledon Women's?this page
- Will Coco Gauff win Wimbledon Women's?No won
- Will Emma Raducanu win Wimbledon Women's?No won
- Will Iga Swiatek win Wimbledon Women's?No won
- Will Jessica Pegula win Wimbledon Women's?No won
- Will Naomi Osaka win Wimbledon Women's?No won
- Will Ons Jabeur win Wimbledon Women's?No won
- Will another player win Wimbledon Women's?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.