TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Tunis: Ilia Simakin vs Laurent Lokoli

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Laurent Lokoliof Ilia Simakin, Laurent Lokoli
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,221
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,448

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,221 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Ilia Simakin33c3,647$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.47,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Laurent Lokoli62c2,094$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.734,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Ilia Simakin48c2,094$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.9954345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Laurent Lokoli74c1,797$1,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.355,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Laurent Lokoli71c1,677$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.9611,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Laurent Lokoli54c1,400$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6446,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Laurent Lokoli55c1,039$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.068,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…13e5backed Ilia Simakin40c987.4$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.964443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ilia Simakin40c980.99$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.393,88435%1,358 W · 2,526 L+92.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Laurent Lokoli59c980.73$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.639,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Laurent Lokoli54c920.73$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.459,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Ilia Simakin28c655.83$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.334,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa164…7d86backed Ilia Simakin36c644.19$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.9122248.2%107 W · 115 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8644…ad01backed Laurent Lokoli59c623.43$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.8326049.2%128 W · 132 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Laurent Lokoli54c597.29$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.154,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Ilia Simakin26c584.07$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.242,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Ilia Simakin38c550.32$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.312,52138.4%969 W · 1,552 L+93.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3191…e118backed Laurent Lokoli43c544.86$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.8614829.1%43 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Laurent Lokoli52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Ilia Simakin22c496.45$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.822,06946.7%966 W · 1,103 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Ilia Simakin41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Ilia Simakin38c342.02$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9738141.2%157 W · 224 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Ilia Simakin36c320$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11430339.9%121 W · 182 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Ilia Simakin32c312.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4728031.8%89 W · 191 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2de…e4bdbacked Ilia Simakin15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf753…bcfebacked Ilia Simakin29c282.91$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8353736.9%198 W · 339 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Laurent Lokoli59c270.98$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.7743067%288 W · 142 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ilia Simakin21c265.67$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.347,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Ilia Simakin44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10094549.6%469 W · 476 L-23.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Laurent Lokoli58c221.63$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.093,31948.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L-52.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked Ilia Simakin38c218.98$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0630436.2%110 W · 194 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d8…9ccdbacked Ilia Simakin37c194$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.312249.2%60 W · 62 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Ilia Simakin45c186.54$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.582,77653.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L+69.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Laurent Lokoli58c171.4$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.458145.8%266 W · 315 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Laurent Lokoli57c169.2$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.532,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Ilia Simakin11c168.55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.543,79854.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L+111.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Laurent Lokoli60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6736349.6%180 W · 183 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Laurent Lokoli65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8545957.5%264 W · 195 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Laurent Lokoli60c148.23$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2950340%201 W · 302 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Ilia Simakin47c131.88$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.654,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Ilia Simakin41c127.22$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.331,25452.1%653 W · 601 L+45.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Laurent Lokoli69c126.81$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.596,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked Ilia Simakin38c117.4$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.838252.4%43 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab4c…2a53backed Ilia Simakin54c112.78$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.93737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x101c…543dbacked Ilia Simakin42c103.57$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.453562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c42…e05cbacked Laurent Lokoli50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Ilia Simakin42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cee…bd00backed Ilia Simakin42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424351.2%22 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Laurent Lokoli60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4056062.5%350 W · 210 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x610b…36a3backed Ilia Simakin53c95.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5054844.5%244 W · 304 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Laurent Lokoli60c91.34$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2774346.3%344 W · 399 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ilia Simakin41c88.77$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.288,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Ilia Simakin43c88.36$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.997,10739.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L-17.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Ilia Simakin39c80.28$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.161,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Ilia Simakin43c76.85$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.112,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Ilia Simakin40c74.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6880938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Laurent Lokoli60c74.2$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.681,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Ilia Simakin48c74$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7731366.8%209 W · 104 L+27.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Laurent Lokoli53c71.52$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.622,86849.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L+23.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Ilia Simakin19c61$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5916718.6%31 W · 136 L-23.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-54.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x6068…3342backed Ilia Simakin25c55.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+75.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Laurent Lokoli59c53.89$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9585624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ced…9753backed Ilia Simakin38c53.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.193834.2%13 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a37…4daebacked Laurent Lokoli56c53.13$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1313451.5%69 W · 65 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Ilia Simakin44c51.59$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.753544.1%236 W · 299 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3555…ba40backed Laurent Lokoli60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206758.2%39 W · 28 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Ilia Simakin40c49.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6531563.5%200 W · 115 L+21.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Laurent Lokoli61c46.97$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.322,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0199…4e86backed Laurent Lokoli64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8812166.9%81 W · 40 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Ilia Simakin57c46.67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.65,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed Laurent Lokoli72c44.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5522457.6%129 W · 95 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Ilia Simakin46c42.07$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.352,44051.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L+9.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Laurent Lokoli61c40.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.063,71145.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Ilia Simakin48c37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8135187.7%308 W · 43 L+66.4wins+0.19per pick69cpaid+29.6%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xc04c…cebfbacked Laurent Lokoli71c36.19$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6167678.7%532 W · 144 L+49.5wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+10.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8c6…737abacked Laurent Lokoli61c35.55$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0424348.1%117 W · 126 L-25.0wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-21.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x093a…1b3fbacked Laurent Lokoli63c35.4$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.127566.5%183 W · 92 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Laurent Lokoli65c34.5$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.984,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe29…eb76backed Ilia Simakin48c33.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9818330.1%55 W · 128 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed Laurent Lokoli70c29.4$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8223658.1%137 W · 99 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa9e…2264backed Ilia Simakin49c27.35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.532445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ad0…cdc2backed Ilia Simakin41c26.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111148.6%54 W · 57 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e27…9967backed Laurent Lokoli68c25.66$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.256869.1%47 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Laurent Lokoli66c23.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9699244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Ilia Simakin46c22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1290340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Laurent Lokoli61c21.86$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.643,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Laurent Lokoli58c20.84$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.711,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Laurent Lokoli61c20.13$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.842,09944.5%935 W · 1,164 L-51.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6442…d68bbacked Ilia Simakin55c19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4515146.4%70 W · 81 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7187…535abacked Laurent Lokoli67c18.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.058269.5%57 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0380…4943backed Laurent Lokoli60c16.75$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.753658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd82d…7882backed Laurent Lokoli70c14.81$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.445137.3%19 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b92…2241backed Laurent Lokoli71c14.45$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.195052%26 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Laurent Lokoli76c14.19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4716258.6%95 W · 67 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.