NHL · resolved market
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Avangard Omsk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5f6d0126f82877eaff3cc39c842e008bccfe3e8b10d55babba86ab90a7dfba9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavlof Lokomotiv Yaroslavl, Avangard Omsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8018…247cbacked Avangard Omsk | 0c | 3,255$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab4c…2a53backed Avangard Omsk | 48c | 602.72$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.37per pick | 45cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Avangard Omsk | 15c | 387.13$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.03 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd65c…9a48backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 55c | 320.38$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 76c | 317.91$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.32 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Avangard Omsk | 8c | 299.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 51c | 288.25$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.04 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb927…6518backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 55c | 274.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c4…f151backed Avangard Omsk | 48c | 108$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 53c | 106.59$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Avangard Omsk | 46c | 94.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Avangard Omsk | 17c | 66.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Avangard Omsk | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Avangard Omsk | 26c | 57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…3429backed Avangard Omsk | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Avangard Omsk | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 52c | 42.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc45d…de2fbacked Avangard Omsk | 42c | 36.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 52c | 20.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb3…b7febacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 54c | 19.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.