NHL · resolved market
KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Traktor
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x734f5d9028b2763fb2fd1a6ccf4d064fbbf3f89665625009aad0a7df945a6516
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Salavat Yulaev Ufaof Salavat Yulaev Ufa, Traktor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4343…ac47backed Traktor | 51c | 933.19$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 50c | 500.33$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.19 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 52c | 415.84$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.26 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05aa…22f4backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Traktor | 50c | 368.48$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.3 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 47c | 350.75$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.89 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Traktor | 50c | 284.24$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +189%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Traktor | 49c | 269.37$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.48 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Traktor | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 49c | 199.7$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.96 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Traktor | 51c | 186.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.36 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…0267backed Traktor | 27c | 116.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 50c | 100.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Traktor | 51c | 98.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab4c…2a53backed Traktor | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.37per pick | 45cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 75c | 77.53$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Traktor | 51c | 66.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…59d1backed Traktor | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 36c | 39.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa2…8cebbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 55c | 36.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.