Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs Kopriva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6274840d52fcac5bf82c46d113d926fd699a8a71f8b720a08c8eea9d42e8971
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cobolliof Cobolli, Kopriva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Kopriva | 25c | 444.64$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.74 | 366 | 21.6%79 W · 287 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Kopriva | 8c | 384.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…6f10backed Cobolli | 60c | 324.96$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.75 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…b336backed Cobolli | 77c | 304.76$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.08 | 103 | 55.3%57 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cobolli | 75c | 293.5$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.18 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cobolli | 74c | 261.11$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.77 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Kopriva | 36c | 228.58$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.14 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6712…a95bbacked Kopriva | 38c | 182.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Kopriva | 42c | 175.11$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.55 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Cobolli | 73c | 160.44$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f96…ad0fbacked Cobolli | 63c | 146.71$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6150…8a24backed Kopriva | 45c | 136.71$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.52 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kopriva | 33c | 108.93$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fe…09c9backed Kopriva | 44c | 82.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 220 | 49.5%109 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Cobolli | 66c | 81.87$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Kopriva | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Cobolli | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Kopriva | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…5c9fbacked Cobolli | 68c | 46.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed Cobolli | 60c | 40.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 234 | 57.3%134 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Kopriva | 28c | 36.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 361 | 35.7%129 W · 232 L | -35.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Kopriva | 35c | 28.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 269 | 51.3%138 W · 131 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Cobolli | 64c | 28.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cobolli | 62c | 26.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71bd…0fecbacked Cobolli | 63c | 23.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc8…d150backed Cobolli | 73c | 20.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Cobolli | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs Koprivathis page
- BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Vit KoprivaFlavio Cobolli won
- Cobolli vs. Kopriva: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Flavio Cobolli vs. Vit Kopriva: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Kopriva (+1.5)Cobolli won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.