AS Monaco FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x676fef93103e07fac8a97c2dae0212bb5dafa0d70f7d81100915ede12fcb38bf

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 28, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $105,581
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $109,084

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,581 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Under	45c	79,308$35,673 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,634.98	24	75%18 W · 6 L	+6.3wins	+0.26per pick	49cpaid	+58.1%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	55c	39,680$21,824 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,824	460	48.5%223 W · 237 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over	55c	10,000$5,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,500	131	51.1%67 W · 64 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over	55c	9,408$5,174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,173.96	338	51.5%174 W · 164 L	-8.8wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under	44c	7,082$3,116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,965.98	82	58.5%48 W · 34 L	+10.0wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+36.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Over	55c	4,000$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-2.2wins	-0.17per pick	55cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	53c	3,555$1,884 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,883.74	1,994	43.9%875 W · 1,119 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6a6…a6d3backed Under	70c	3,190$2,230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$959.89	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	65cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over	55c	3,000$1,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,650	107	48.6%52 W · 55 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over	55c	3,000$1,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,650	122	49.2%60 W · 62 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e7…52cabacked Over	55c	2,504$1,377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,377	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.17per pick	57cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x291a…e648backed Over	60c	2,361$1,417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,417	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	31c	2,037$626 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$626.04	1,511	40.2%608 W · 903 L	-6.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over	57c	1,532$873 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$872.96	62	59.7%37 W · 25 L	+5.4wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+21%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6183…575fbacked Over	56c	1,250$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Over	58c	999.57$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$579.75	76	31.6%24 W · 52 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7bb4…acb6backed Under	44c	600$267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+46.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over	57c	500$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285	94	45.7%43 W · 51 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Over	57c	499$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.65	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over	55c	450$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.5	383	56.7%217 W · 166 L	+11.1wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over	55c	450$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.5	213	54%115 W · 98 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over	25c	400$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	66	33.3%22 W · 44 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over	55c	400$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	449	55.7%250 W · 199 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	30c	339.37$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.92	397	43.3%172 W · 225 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over	55c	300$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	111	52.3%58 W · 53 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over	55c	280$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154	134	53.7%72 W · 62 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Under	42c	240.64$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.64	122	30.3%37 W · 85 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Under	43c	232$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.24	95	40%38 W · 57 L	+5.1wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over	55c	190$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.5	132	52.3%69 W · 63 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x995e…534cbacked Over	57c	186$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.02	31	64.5%20 W · 11 L	+4.2wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+80%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over	55c	180$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	106	50.9%54 W · 52 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over	55c	170$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.5	115	48.7%56 W · 59 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over	55c	170$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.5	133	52.6%70 W · 63 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over	55c	170$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.5	114	49.1%56 W · 58 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over	55c	170$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.5	135	48.9%66 W · 69 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over	55c	170$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.5	137	51.8%71 W · 66 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over	56c	152.62$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.25	131	49.6%65 W · 66 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over	55c	150$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.5	183	50.3%92 W · 91 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over	55c	150$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.5	142	47.2%67 W · 75 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	56c	131.63$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.53	597	41.7%249 W · 348 L	-18.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under	42c	127.79$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.12	116	49.1%57 W · 59 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over	55c	120$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	117	47%55 W · 62 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over	55c	120$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	107	53.3%57 W · 50 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over	55c	120$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	116	48.3%56 W · 60 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over	55c	120$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	126	52.4%66 W · 60 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over	55c	120$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	116	50.9%59 W · 57 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over	55c	120$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	113	50.4%57 W · 56 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	50c	105.18$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.7	424	38%161 W · 263 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Over	55c	100$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x309d…4287backed Over	32c	93.52$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.23	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Over	56c	89$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.84	45	60%27 W · 18 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	33c	83.59$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.28	274	50.7%139 W · 135 L	+9.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over	55c	80$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	116	52.6%61 W · 55 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Over	55c	80$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	88	50%44 W · 44 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Under	44c	79.49$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.15	59	27.1%16 W · 43 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Under	41c	77.83$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.92	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+2.7wins	+0.10per pick	31cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over	55c	70$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.5	138	53.6%74 W · 64 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under	43c	67$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.19	159	36.5%58 W · 101 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Under	42c	64.29$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.29	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over	56c	62.5$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	198	56.6%112 W · 86 L	+6.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over	55c	60$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	115	48.7%56 W · 59 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over	55c	60$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	132	48.5%64 W · 68 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over	55c	60$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	119	52.1%62 W · 57 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over	55c	60$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	119	49.6%59 W · 60 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Over	55c	60$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	114	49.1%56 W · 58 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over	55c	60$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	114	52.6%60 W · 54 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Over	55c	60$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	151	53%80 W · 71 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over	55c	60$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	122	49.2%60 W · 62 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over	55c	60$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	114	52.6%60 W · 54 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Over	55c	60$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	131	51.1%67 W · 64 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over	55c	56.77$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.22	121	49.6%60 W · 61 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Over	59c	53.54$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.59	79	34.2%27 W · 52 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over	57c	52.63$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	-4.1wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0156…2ddcbacked Over	36c	50$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.9	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over	27c	48.34$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.28	200	42.5%85 W · 115 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under	39c	47.36$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.89	239	47.7%114 W · 125 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99a3…225bbacked Over	60c	40.1$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.06	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.20per pick	33cpaid	-78.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1182…3751backed Over	56c	37.35$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.92	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-2.6wins	-0.12per pick	57cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Over	55c	37.35$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.54	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.10per pick	58cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x571e…67b2backed Under	41c	36.59$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.59	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	-3.7wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x385e…3896backed Under	41c	36.59$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.59	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-19%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over	35c	32$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.12	39	64.1%25 W · 14 L	+3.6wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	42c	31.41$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.27	650	50.2%326 W · 324 L	-12.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Over	56c	26.25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over	55c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	113	60.2%68 W · 45 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

AS Monaco FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5this page
AS Monaco FC vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
AS Monaco FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5Under won
AS Monaco FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5Under won
AS Monaco FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

AS Monaco FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event