Champions League · resolved market
AS Monaco FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91c4573f5c655bfcd70e548b5de18dfec70fdffc55f22913ed76da132dfc1660
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Under | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 75cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 27c | 4,994$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.36 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Under | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Over | 38c | 1,579$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 73c | 1,109$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.43 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 7c | 961$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.39 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecb…514cbacked Under | 68c | 217.65$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1809…0d24backed Under | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 13c | 124.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…1483backed Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 35c | 58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…aea9backed Under | 65c | 49.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Monaco FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5this page
- AS Monaco FC vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.