Champions League · resolved market
AS Monaco FC vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x238b94d88e55c8417cc41d90ed9c2ffb5fdfc5adcdc14dcdcedefecac99b9af5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 2,684$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.38 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd94…c56cbacked Yes | 61c | 1,646$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 61c | 636.64$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.35 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 61c | 508$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.95 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 39c | 457.75$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.26 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 60c | 279.95$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.26 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 40c | 240.95$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.57 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 42c | 170$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.91 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 39c | 158.2$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.5 | 266 | 45.9%122 W · 144 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…692dbacked No | 41c | 126.88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.86 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 40c | 120.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.29 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed Yes | 61c | 120$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 102.63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 60c | 84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf97c…f20abacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 31c | 74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 39c | 68.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 58c | 43.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 61c | 38.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…cfbebacked Yes | 61c | 34.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -7.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -32%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…0b89backed Yes | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda1…69fdbacked Yes | 61c | 18.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Monaco FC vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AS Monaco FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- AS Monaco FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.