Serie A · resolved market
Will Como win on 2025-09-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08fd3ce7eb19255d68adc1802a88cc110135d8bb5dec053581770f18054390be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $368,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $371,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $368,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2635…5408backed No | 31c | 290,689$90,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200,075.75 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 69c | 141,044$97,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,269.23 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 69c | 56,208$38,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,783.61 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Yes | 68c | 50,000$34,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 68c | 38,522$26,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,074.21 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 68c | 16,164$10,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,991.68 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 32c | 3,130$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,128.4 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed No | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…4ce3backed No | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 67c | 2,164$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.18 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 33c | 1,311$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.09 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 31c | 1,166$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed No | 16c | 1,116$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.84 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5832…3dacbacked No | 34c | 1,024$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…819fbacked No | 35c | 1,003$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.53 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 66c | 999.99$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 35c | 927.95$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.57 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 62c | 798.75$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.23 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 45c | 662.66$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.44 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 69c | 648.99$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.8 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 33c | 600$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 32c | 400$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6324…95b9backed Yes | 33c | 363.64$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 36c | 347.54$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.89 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x406c…bdc6backed Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 39c | 300$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.52 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 32c | 295.49$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.93 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57f…ad4fbacked No | 37c | 253.97$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 41c | 246.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.34 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Yes | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 25c | 218.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 68c | 217.65$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 125 | 65.6%82 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 65c | 194.16$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.2 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 69c | 183$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.35 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 33c | 180.87$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Yes | 60c | 159$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 66c | 139.12$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.47 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 68c | 122.63$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.39 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1700…54d9backed Yes | 67c | 119.88$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 39c | 102$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008e…5747backed Yes | 65c | 92.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb33…ef60backed Yes | 65c | 89.92$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea96…6eb5backed Yes | 66c | 73.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 35c | 43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Yes | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…f8b6backed Yes | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 66c | 31.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…91cabacked Yes | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e89…edfcbacked Yes | 65c | 26.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 74c | 13.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Como win on 2025-09-27?this page
- Will Como vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?Yes won
- Will US Cremonese win on 2025-09-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.