MLB · resolved market
Tigers vs. Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8fad367d57c70754104e3def5d40ff51f87d92b64617db19c625df5601adc21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raysof Tigers, Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $305,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $308,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Tigers | 45c | 168,060$75,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,585.9 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Rays | 55c | 97,668$54,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,568.12 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rays | 55c | 38,880$21,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,495.98 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Rays | 55c | 25,000$13,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,249.97 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…f6e2backed Rays | 72c | 17,795$12,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,992.19 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Tigers | 14c | 10,814$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.86 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bf…6d50backed Rays | 54c | 9,998$5,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf502…2975backed Tigers | 46c | 9,997$4,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,598.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays | 55c | 6,652$3,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,980.32 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Tigers | 44c | 6,000$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,659.98 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…6f4abacked Tigers | 45c | 5,693$2,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,561.77 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Tigers | 9c | 5,668$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.01 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Rays | 55c | 5,300$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,384.97 | 496 | 50.2%249 W · 247 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Rays | 67c | 5,081$3,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.83 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Tigers | 44c | 4,069$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797.93 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Tigers | 3c | 3,277$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.22 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Tigers | 14c | 3,075$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.24 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Rays | 56c | 3,052$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.72 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rays | 74c | 2,774$2,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Tigers | 23c | 2,600$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.4 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Rays | 74c | 2,596$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.36 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…6775backed Tigers | 45c | 2,225$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.29 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Tigers | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Tigers | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Tigers | 39c | 1,980$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.2 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Tigers | 18c | 1,951$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Rays | 55c | 1,611$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.95 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…d582backed Tigers | 44c | 1,600$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Tigers | 1c | 1,518$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Rays | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Tigers | 40c | 1,259$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.76 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Tigers | 22c | 1,049$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.8 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Tigers | 45c | 1,041$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.3 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Tigers | 2c | 1,014$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Tigers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rays | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…f625backed Tigers | 8c | 915.04$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rays | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Tigers | 5c | 825$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Tigers | 7c | 699.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers | 29c | 685.12$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.76 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Tigers | 45c | 684.44$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Tigers | 45c | 664.44$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Tigers | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc028…9349backed Tigers | 45c | 532.87$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.79 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Tigers | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Tigers | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Tigers | 46c | 439.74$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.28 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd3…8757backed Rays | 55c | 414.55$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.55 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Tigers | 6c | 366.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rays | 70c | 366.94$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.84 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6032…f272backed Rays | 55c | 363.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.28 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rays | 55c | 357.28$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.78 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…a1c2backed Rays | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d8…5a80backed Rays | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Rays | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Tigers | 45c | 262.22$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Rays | 55c | 254.55$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9076…f6a4backed Tigers | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x998c…6f97backed Tigers | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -8.0wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Tigers | 45c | 232$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Tigers | 44c | 229.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Tigers | 48c | 228.48$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.41 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…1dc6backed Tigers | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Rays | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Rays | 55c | 182.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Rays | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 201 | 38.8%78 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Rays | 55c | 173.78$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.78 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Tigers | 46c | 167.39$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…38e2backed Tigers | 13c | 157.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Tigers | 47c | 124.79$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Tigers | 25c | 123.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 1,396 | 55.2%770 W · 626 L | -28.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Tigers | 45c | 119.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Rays | 56c | 116.79$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.44 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Tigers | 47c | 110.26$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Tigers | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3587…23adbacked Tigers | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Tigers | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Tigers | 45c | 99.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Rays | 54c | 93.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.37 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Rays | 53c | 86.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Rays | 56c | 85.71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rays | 67c | 77.65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc1…e0fcbacked Rays | 56c | 77.39$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Rays | 56c | 75.04$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…d086backed Rays | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd99…b567backed Rays | 55c | 70.8$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacc6…ad9ebacked Tigers | 48c | 65.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Rays | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3915…2d71backed Tigers | 46c | 58.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Tigers | 44c | 58.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…c533backed Tigers | 46c | 56.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe04c…d77bbacked Tigers | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Tigers | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Tigers | 45c | 47.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eae…fbaebacked Tigers | 48c | 47.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…2ec3backed Rays | 54c | 47.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Rays | 55c | 47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.