South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-11-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27b5ee49b22b7d6e7cfea961cfa5b77f2e326b47700d0c1c9a9c820afc25bb46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 44c | 35,000$15,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,600.38 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 56c | 23,334$13,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,067.04 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 56c | 10,547$5,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,958.25 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 30c | 5,273$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.99 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked Yes | 37c | 1,369$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 26c | 1,200$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 74c | 948.56$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.66 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 43c | 607.1$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.82 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked Yes | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.4 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked No | 58c | 325$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked No | 58c | 312.38$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 60c | 307.77$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.94 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…7623backed No | 12c | 288.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…f2a0backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked No | 58c | 171.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked No | 58c | 124$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.92 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Yes | 42c | 96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.44per pick | 42cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Yes | 42c | 85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed Yes | 42c | 82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 61c | 76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 128 | 64.8%83 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Yes | 42c | 71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed No | 58c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked Yes | 42c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…bc56backed Yes | 42c | 66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed Yes | 42c | 63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…1dc6backed Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Yes | 42c | 62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked No | 58c | 57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Yes | 42c | 52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 33c | 49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 32c | 45.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21e2…bd6dbacked No | 58c | 44.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb379…517bbacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked Yes | 42c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed Yes | 42c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e02…c5f2backed Yes | 42c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11de…8985backed No | 58c | 33.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 58c | 32.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 56c | 30.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…011cbacked No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-11-16?this page
- Will CA Mineiro win on 2025-11-16?No won
- Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.