South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Mineiro win on 2025-11-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb30b7bd233a0e0715da107fcd56fca624fe7318498974f778d3953e2c9de778f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,364
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,364 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 3,204$2,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.06 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 2,001$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 88 | 8%7 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Yes | 27c | 1,430$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.9 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 785.87$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.24 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 75c | 690$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 31c | 522.67$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.03 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 26c | 485.04$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.37 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 31c | 433.39$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.35 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked No | 74c | 337.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 75c | 247.33$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.52 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed No | 73c | 209$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked No | 73c | 190$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 28c | 177.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…315bbacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 30c | 147.87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 26c | 141.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…4bf9backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…3773backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked Yes | 27c | 85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 59cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce0…a1ebbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…bdecbacked Yes | 27c | 71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 30c | 66.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…327dbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…7623backed No | 77c | 44.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 24c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Yes | 27c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked No | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Yes | 27c | 38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.42per pick | 54cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 71c | 32.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 72c | 21.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 73c | 18.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Mineiro win on 2025-11-16?this page
- Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?No won
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-11-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.