Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b5d28cc85d295a39897b524329653628d7de3378920ab63247c8af9d7ee03d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zelenskyyof Putin, Zelenskyy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $465,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $464,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $465,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf812…b1a3backed Zelenskyy | 43c | 115,962$49,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,098.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a7c9backed Putin | 57c | 115,962$66,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,098.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…cafcbacked Putin | 2c | 16,095$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Zelenskyy | 48c | 11,741$5,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,053.06 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…2e07backed Putin | 50c | 11,592$5,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,786.65 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4b…75eabacked Putin | 12c | 8,686$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Putin | 16c | 7,916$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.93 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +118%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Putin | 3c | 6,800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.4 | 129 | 10.9%14 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…fb5dbacked Putin | 11c | 5,887$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Zelenskyy | 46c | 5,205$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,815.44 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Zelenskyy | 44c | 5,001$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,825.54 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Putin | 58c | 4,792$2,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,765.2 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Putin | 57c | 4,537$2,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,578.15 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7908…580bbacked Putin | 67c | 4,453$2,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,974.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Zelenskyy | 35c | 4,390$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,834 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…c82bbacked Putin | 62c | 4,233$2,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,642.9 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked Putin | 3c | 4,076$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.51 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Putin | 49c | 3,500$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.52 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Putin | 5c | 3,412$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.05 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Putin | 59c | 3,383$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.29 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Putin | 39c | 3,300$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.9 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Zelenskyy | 67c | 3,126$2,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.45 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Zelenskyy | 50c | 2,519$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.17 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Putin | 42c | 2,500$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.82 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Putin | 2c | 2,455$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Putin | 14c | 2,300$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 135 | 25.9%35 W · 100 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…8145backed Putin | 2c | 2,062$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Zelenskyy | 52c | 1,896$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.93 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed Zelenskyy | 45c | 1,812$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.1 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Putin | 8c | 1,710$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Putin | 46c | 1,504$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.98 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a15…0246backed Zelenskyy | 44c | 1,500$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Zelenskyy | 55c | 1,471$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.81 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Putin | 1c | 1,335$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 240 | 0%0 W · 240 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Zelenskyy | 54c | 1,317$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.08 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Zelenskyy | 57c | 1,189$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.87 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ba…dbc7backed Putin | 5c | 1,186$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.01 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked Putin | 50c | 1,186$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.39 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Zelenskyy | 59c | 1,156$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.19 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31ea…0140backed Putin | 39c | 1,092$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.1 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2e…84dfbacked Putin | 50c | 1,015$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Zelenskyy | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Putin | 4c | 988.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f5…6a2bbacked Putin | 21c | 950.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Putin | 50c | 950$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Zelenskyy | 36c | 939$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.62 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +22.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6b52…8a4fbacked Putin | 2c | 830.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Putin | 70c | 804.39$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.52 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc160…ce0abacked Zelenskyy | 50c | 775.78$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.89 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…e61bbacked Zelenskyy | 26c | 759.98$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.79 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Zelenskyy | 37c | 756.46$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -55%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b37…de68backed Putin | 68c | 700$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…9b6abacked Zelenskyy | 44c | 700$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Zelenskyy | 61c | 689.32$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.86 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa273…7786backed Putin | 9c | 659.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7f…be25backed Zelenskyy | 60c | 650$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…f6aabacked Putin | 69c | 647.6$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.04 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Zelenskyy | 25c | 621$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.92 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed Zelenskyy | 39c | 610.45$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.91 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc0…64eebacked Putin | 3c | 601.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Putin | 50c | 550$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…fa37backed Zelenskyy | 58c | 539.39$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.53 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…82cebacked Putin | 4c | 530.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 23.4%15 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…58cebacked Putin | 80c | 513.11$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…a45bbacked Putin | 30c | 502.13$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb869…c4c6backed Putin | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92a7…85c0backed Putin | 34c | 500$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.93 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…e78bbacked Zelenskyy | 54c | 467.21$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.9 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1601backed Zelenskyy | 48c | 443.99$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.87 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7b…5824backed Zelenskyy | 62c | 442.17$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.77 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…6d3fbacked Putin | 63c | 419.92$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.61 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fc…1ab9backed Putin | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b3…10febacked Putin | 67c | 393.17$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.47 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa70f…993dbacked Putin | 75c | 390.23$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Putin | 54c | 389.25$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.22 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Zelenskyy | 46c | 388.69$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.69 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…1036backed Putin | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed Putin | 25c | 379.84$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.52 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961b…8f2cbacked Zelenskyy | 57c | 377.54$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…2e5fbacked Putin | 50c | 357.61$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…48cfbacked Zelenskyy | 55c | 350$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…980bbacked Zelenskyy | 46c | 339.85$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.43 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b73…4766backed Putin | 65c | 331$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.68 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…c5a1backed Putin | 3c | 310.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Putin | 17c | 310$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed Zelenskyy | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Putin | 17c | 280.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked Putin | 49c | 270$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Putin | 27c | 265.44$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.76 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8288…2a0ebacked Putin | 43c | 255.47$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff6…5e9dbacked Putin | 19c | 255.29$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2271backed Zelenskyy | 80c | 251.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…272dbacked Zelenskyy | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0623…35dbbacked Putin | 20c | 244.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -79%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Zelenskyy | 49c | 239.4$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 318 | 40.3%128 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1492…97dabacked Putin | 63c | 238.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Zelenskyy | 59c | 232.47$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.79 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Putin | 22c | 227.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 170 | 21.2%36 W · 134 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Putin | 19c | 217.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc930…22d0backed Zelenskyy | 54c | 203.36$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.