NHL · resolved market
Predators vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff863dc8e0e6343288744c968b0fb66d51b93ec9c1f870cb1ec4b631952002a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Predators, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Predators | 59c | 34,141$20,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,199.35 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Ducks | 41c | 8,000$3,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,720 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Ducks | 43c | 7,504$3,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,288.6 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Ducks | 42c | 7,414$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,302.39 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Ducks | 40c | 3,677$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,206.37 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Predators | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Ducks | 41c | 2,429$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.61 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Ducks | 45c | 2,224$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.44 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Ducks | 41c | 2,000$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Ducks | 41c | 1,715$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.85 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9598…1fd2backed Predators | 56c | 1,502$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.12 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Ducks | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa33a…454abacked Ducks | 45c | 1,006$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.3 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Ducks | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Ducks | 41c | 939$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.74 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Predators | 22c | 910.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.32 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Ducks | 41c | 648.89$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.62 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Ducks | 40c | 597$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.2 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Ducks | 41c | 585.6$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.65 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f9…ec50backed Predators | 56c | 574$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.44 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f38…f370backed Ducks | 44c | 574$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6800…5cf5backed Ducks | 45c | 573$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.15 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Predators | 55c | 563.93$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.16 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Predators | 22c | 559.76$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.58 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Ducks | 40c | 557.21$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.33 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94c7…ae99backed Predators | 55c | 503$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.65 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd348…0c07backed Predators | 55c | 503$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.65 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked Predators | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Ducks | 43c | 491.59$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.29 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec05…5fb3backed Predators | 60c | 490$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5613…10c9backed Ducks | 41c | 484.98$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Ducks | 40c | 469.8$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.88 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Ducks | 41c | 442.48$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.21 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Ducks | 41c | 440$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.6 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ae…9463backed Ducks | 45c | 438$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.9 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Ducks | 70c | 426.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.27 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Predators | 57c | 407.61$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.97 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Predators | 56c | 390.24$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.71 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Predators | 30c | 359.86$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.55 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdacc…8476backed Predators | 55c | 310$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Predators | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Ducks | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0995…fa39backed Predators | 55c | 282$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x278b…aa19backed Ducks | 45c | 282$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b2…4874backed Ducks | 64c | 281.09$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.09 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Ducks | 41c | 269.1$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.77 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e1…3348backed Predators | 55c | 268$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b85…f51cbacked Predators | 55c | 263$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.65 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7b…a0a0backed Predators | 55c | 256$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…3651backed Ducks | 45c | 252$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…6045backed Predators | 55c | 252$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5f…1aecbacked Ducks | 43c | 248.9$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba4…dd66backed Predators | 57c | 248.9$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Ducks | 45c | 224.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.44 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Predators | 59c | 222.52$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb968…921dbacked Predators | 60c | 222$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +146%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Ducks | 45c | 220.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.65 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd7…c328backed Ducks | 45c | 210$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62d0…58a2backed Ducks | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Predators | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…f2afbacked Predators | 62c | 199.87$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe32…5e5dbacked Ducks | 45c | 193$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…e576backed Predators | 57c | 178$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc372…bb36backed Ducks | 43c | 178$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 45cpaid | +125%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…8efcbacked Predators | 55c | 170$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Predators | 61c | 162.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…2421backed Predators | 55c | 160$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…b7e2backed Ducks | 41c | 156$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…fb00backed Predators | 59c | 156$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd617…38febacked Ducks | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb488…b374backed Predators | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf585…f019backed Predators | 61c | 147.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Ducks | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.34 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Ducks | 53c | 143.18$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.95 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…5f89backed Ducks | 42c | 129.64$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.19 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Ducks | 38c | 129.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.08 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e08…fc67backed Ducks | 43c | 123$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd348…0eaabacked Predators | 57c | 123$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…82c7backed Predators | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…11b6backed Ducks | 42c | 121.62$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.54 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd50…9109backed Ducks | 40c | 120$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa8…74d3backed Predators | 60c | 120$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Ducks | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb7…5f51backed Predators | 60c | 117$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7122…7fd4backed Ducks | 40c | 117$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +166.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…8156backed Ducks | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…803cbacked Predators | 56c | 110.71$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Ducks | 41c | 110$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Predators | 59c | 109.05$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.15 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf168…35fcbacked Ducks | 40c | 109$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60e…7b31backed Predators | 60c | 109$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb80e…be5bbacked Predators | 60c | 106$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f1…6fa7backed Ducks | 40c | 106$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Ducks | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Predators | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Predators | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2473…da9ebacked Ducks | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…7978backed Predators | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…439bbacked Predators | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Ducks | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.