Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester win on 2025-02-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31fa2bab9f95f69219d2b2a02327328f64ec3ce1164d76a74a841c52f08a09bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Yes | 21c | 15,405$3,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,219.03 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 79c | 12,793$10,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,686.62 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 80c | 3,318$2,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.43 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 17c | 2,415$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.66 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 20c | 1,476$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 80c | 1,025$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 79c | 882.96$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.77 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d86…f0bbbacked Yes | 20c | 761.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…3e1ebacked Yes | 8c | 652.87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3436…17c5backed No | 80c | 624.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Yes | 21c | 478.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 21c | 445.48$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.55 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Yes | 22c | 435.05$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb474…a4bcbacked No | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 21c | 350$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.78 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 18c | 315$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.06 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…1dc6backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…590bbacked Yes | 21c | 268.05$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 19c | 257$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Yes | 20c | 238.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Yes | 22c | 228.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ae…a9a0backed Yes | 19c | 216$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea0…27f4backed Yes | 17c | 211.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed No | 79c | 125$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…2eb3backed Yes | 20c | 114.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fec…70f9backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…e829backed Yes | 19c | 87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…f868backed Yes | 20c | 78.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4274…833abacked Yes | 19c | 74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd688…b771backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b3…03c7backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5769…a5dabacked No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester win on 2025-02-27?this page
- Will West Ham vs. Leicester end in a draw?No won
- Will West Ham win on 2025-02-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.