Bundesliga · resolved market
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-09-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00a7cb9092ac458b5be2bc47c5ecf506a7e6e024cb76aa83581aa0d1beefe674
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 49c | 40,000$19,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,599.34 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…5408backed Yes | 51c | 22,641$11,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,094 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 13,123$6,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,409.29 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 50c | 11,904$5,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,951.83 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Yes | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 50c | 5,555$2,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,777.5 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 53c | 3,683$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.79 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 48c | 3,497$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.83 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 48c | 2,812$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.28 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 49c | 2,774$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.37 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb96a…18d4backed Yes | 53c | 2,116$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 69c | 1,498$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.55 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 47c | 1,493$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.42 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Yes | 52c | 1,140$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 51c | 1,139$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.96 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 52c | 1,058$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.69 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 51c | 1,000$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 39c | 695.47$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.03 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 11c | 658.57$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 49c | 635.13$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.46 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 77c | 600$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 56c | 489$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.11 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 52c | 452.85$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.37 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 47c | 439.95$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.89 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 48c | 399.6$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.81 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Yes | 52c | 399.57$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.45 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 53c | 304$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.22 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 49c | 289$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.73 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Yes | 54c | 271.37$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 52c | 253$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.69 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 218.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 47c | 211.67$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.15 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 48c | 210.95$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 51c | 210.69$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.47 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…9745backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Yes | 51c | 196.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.06 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb48…19b3backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d70…b17ebacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c3…aa7ebacked Yes | 51c | 177.65$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 52c | 161.53$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.53 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5df…fed4backed Yes | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…239abacked Yes | 52c | 147.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.03 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 52c | 129.17$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.43 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…57d6backed Yes | 58c | 120$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked No | 49c | 110.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 50c | 100.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +8.0wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 61c | 98.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…1dc6backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…d3d6backed Yes | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c53…cba8backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked No | 47c | 84.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8946…e772backed Yes | 52c | 63.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 52c | 63.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 48c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa12c…15c5backed Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a12…1e5abacked Yes | 59c | 55.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked Yes | 52c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5e…93ccbacked Yes | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…bf07backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed No | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8545…da3bbacked Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 49c | 46.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 62c | 40.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Yes | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11b7…701dbacked Yes | 58c | 38.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 38c | 38.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…31a3backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1e…93ecbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +56%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbd…6d1cbacked Yes | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c64…2146backed Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 52c | 20.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6adb…fac7backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…f8b6backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d78…d496backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-09-20?this page
- Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-09-20?No won
- Will RB Leipzig vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.