NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfad52dd581e7649d24691b7d4138cbb4ff8b9a7ae6c3a397ac4a47e0ee6f021d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 45c | 1,985$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.79 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 55c | 1,184$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.2 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 42c | 1,102$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.13 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 59c | 1,009$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.46 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Under | 54c | 908.63$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.49 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 43c | 754.53$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.45 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 26c | 677.1$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.13 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 47c | 605.56$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.79 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Under | 57c | 346.25$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.06 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 46c | 219.22$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.38 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Over | 58c | 198.08$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.19 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 58c | 195.45$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.09 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 58c | 186.14$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.18 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 58c | 186.14$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.18 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 58c | 184.66$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.56 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 47c | 184.59$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.83 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…a44bbacked Under | 36c | 169.38$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +77%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 41c | 160.34$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 55c | 150.15$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.58 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Under | 56c | 149.45$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.74 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Over | 45c | 143.23$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.78 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 43c | 134.26$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.53 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Under | 55c | 125.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.96 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 58c | 121.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.94 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 44c | 114.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.92 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 39c | 110.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 51c | 106.81$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 633 | 53.1%336 W · 297 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…1992backed Under | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aef…da41backed Under | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4abb…d858backed Over | 78c | 98.97$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 50c | 98.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa616…b8ffbacked Under | 51c | 96.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…fe8bbacked Under | 54c | 90.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 55c | 90.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 78.43$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Under | 43c | 68.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Under | 57c | 67.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 61c | 63.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 28c | 59.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc215…c9bcbacked Under | 38c | 51.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 43c | 50.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 44c | 48.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 57c | 47.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d45…30b6backed Under | 43c | 45.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 54c | 41.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Under | 43c | 36.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Under | 54c | 36.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Under | 42c | 35.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 55c | 33.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 45c | 25.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4378…5bb8backed Under | 44c | 23.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Under | 56c | 20.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 533 | 49.3%263 W · 270 L | -28.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Over | 78c | 14.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.31 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5this page
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-12.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-13.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. GrizzliesSuns won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Over won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5Over won
- Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5Over won
- Walter Clayton Jr.: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Walter Clayton Jr.: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.