NBA · resolved market
Spread: Bulls (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c9bb5f5eb0628d73deb0c9ade407ae0315285882bd69f7e28712d15df8a53b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Netsof Bulls, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Bulls | 42c | 11,830$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nets | 58c | 4,132$2,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.11 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Nets | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nets | 57c | 2,916$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.44 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nets | 58c | 2,311$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.27 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nets | 66c | 2,099$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.72 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4811…02c3backed Bulls | 41c | 1,944$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…2864backed Bulls | 41c | 1,653$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…0742backed Bulls | 41c | 1,576$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0b…b8d2backed Bulls | 41c | 1,537$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bulls | 33c | 1,493$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.54 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0730…aaa0backed Nets | 59c | 1,362$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7752backed Nets | 59c | 1,352$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c68…5609backed Nets | 59c | 1,342$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…bc2bbacked Nets | 59c | 1,332$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…9d53backed Nets | 59c | 1,322$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Bulls | 43c | 800$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bulls | 43c | 761$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.23 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Bulls | 42c | 757.14$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nets | 64c | 649.78$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.15 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Nets | 56c | 637.24$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.01 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b0…b1efbacked Bulls | 43c | 465.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Bulls | 44c | 363.64$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Bulls | 43c | 338$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.34 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3854…586abacked Bulls | 28c | 258.44$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.88 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Nets | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Bulls | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Nets | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Bulls | 43c | 155.91$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…2f24backed Bulls | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 250 | 56.8%142 W · 108 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Bulls | 44c | 113.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Bulls | 25c | 106.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nets | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8159…ed58backed Bulls | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 262 | 46.6%122 W · 140 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Nets | 56c | 93.92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Nets | 58c | 78.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Nets | 59c | 68.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Nets | 57c | 67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfcb…0047backed Bulls | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Nets | 56c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Nets | 67c | 37.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed Bulls | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Nets | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Nets | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed Bulls | 44c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb67a…fd1abacked Bulls | 43c | 27.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…8b5bbacked Nets | 60c | 25.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed Bulls | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…8065backed Nets | 57c | 22.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nets | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca8…ddddbacked Nets | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 278 | 46.8%130 W · 148 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c7…b84abacked Nets | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bulls (-2.5)this page
- Bulls vs. NetsNets won
- Bulls vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineNets won
- Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 224.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 225.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: Bulls (-1.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.