NBA · resolved market
Spread: Bulls (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb407493f5ada1337e8b3b66a1a829bcf3dbaa2094ffcf2d8ef89a85e726fe094
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Netsof Bulls, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Bulls | 45c | 29,142$13,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,225.94 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nets | 55c | 24,026$13,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,913.92 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nets | 55c | 18,138$9,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,166.3 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…d8b6backed Bulls | 47c | 14,681$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nets | 56c | 9,672$5,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,210.85 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Bulls | 45c | 9,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Nets | 53c | 6,657$3,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,128.88 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Bulls | 44c | 6,116$2,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,694.61 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…a070backed Bulls | 43c | 2,557$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.51 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.31per pick | 50cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…d3ebbacked Nets | 57c | 2,557$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.51 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Nets | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Bulls | 43c | 2,335$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.11 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls | 46c | 1,852$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.85 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bulls | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…4421backed Bulls | 44c | 1,367$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…4d2cbacked Nets | 56c | 1,363$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cb…9817backed Bulls | 44c | 1,358$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…700abacked Nets | 56c | 1,352$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb49a…2d96backed Bulls | 44c | 1,343$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea17…a55dbacked Nets | 56c | 1,343$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…afb3backed Nets | 56c | 1,337$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d0…7b41backed Bulls | 44c | 1,327$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Nets | 53c | 1,094$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.34 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls | 44c | 1,050$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.08 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…c64cbacked Bulls | 45c | 1,030$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.3 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Nets | 55c | 1,006$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.4 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Nets | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Nets | 53c | 800.98$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.46 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf61…f63fbacked Bulls | 44c | 705$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bulls | 24c | 620.84$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.81 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Nets | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Nets | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Nets | 54c | 455.56$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.56 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…3f90backed Bulls | 45c | 444.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.85 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Bulls | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Nets | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Nets | 53c | 399.12$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.87 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Nets | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb4…bd40backed Bulls | 48c | 312.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Bulls | 45c | 291.42$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.26 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Nets | 53c | 252.55$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.7 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc095…fae5backed Nets | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…9a86backed Nets | 56c | 244$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nets | 52c | 214.19$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.81 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe418…85d6backed Nets | 56c | 211$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Nets | 56c | 144.76$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.14 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Nets | 54c | 127$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.42 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +10.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Bulls | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Nets | 57c | 100.7$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 243 | 63.8%155 W · 88 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Nets | 54c | 95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Nets | 53c | 91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Nets | 57c | 88.63$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Bulls | 46c | 83.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Nets | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…bf3dbacked Nets | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Bulls | 38c | 65.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Nets | 56c | 62.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Bulls | 46c | 62.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Bulls | 47c | 54.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed Nets | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9713…8219backed Nets | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfab5…2bb4backed Nets | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e46…957abacked Nets | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8e…34d8backed Nets | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked Bulls | 46c | 47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…1e75backed Nets | 57c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Nets | 57c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Bulls | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Bulls | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked Bulls | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada4…1bfabacked Bulls | 45c | 39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Nets | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Bulls | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba4d…a31ebacked Bulls | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Bulls | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nets | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Nets | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 169 | 42.6%72 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bulls (-1.5)this page
- Bulls vs. NetsNets won
- Bulls vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineNets won
- Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 224.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 225.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: Bulls (-2.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.