NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc23f68562841d83d4459433f5842c6c9dc61e4749eb80c010d3b1fd6e779f46b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc655…2425backed Under | 53c | 5,600$2,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,632 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 55c | 4,672$2,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.33 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x176a…41f1backed Over | 47c | 3,979$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x675b…c9d7backed Over | 47c | 3,574$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…f281backed Over | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed3…cd54backed Over | 47c | 2,743$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe39a…d6d8backed Over | 47c | 2,553$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Over | 44c | 2,258$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…8751backed Under | 53c | 2,013$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 47c | 1,937$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.39 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…6ef4backed Over | 47c | 1,914$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a54…ddf3backed Under | 53c | 1,827$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.69 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…267bbacked Over | 47c | 1,693$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ff…f3f7backed Over | 47c | 1,688$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99cb…6c12backed Under | 53c | 1,683$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdd…133ebacked Under | 53c | 1,678$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8b…e6c6backed Over | 47c | 1,678$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…c3aabacked Under | 53c | 1,673$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3d…a2c1backed Under | 53c | 1,668$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…6744backed Over | 47c | 1,662$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae8…9901backed Under | 53c | 1,620$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a5…870fbacked Under | 53c | 1,619$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf9…edd3backed Under | 53c | 1,462$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1771…ee04backed Over | 47c | 1,369$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1866…7e16backed Under | 53c | 1,321$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b40…4390backed Under | 53c | 1,302$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7746…7912backed Under | 53c | 1,285$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.95 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…6706backed Under | 53c | 1,212$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.64 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…ab7bbacked Under | 53c | 1,122$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccb…3c7abacked Over | 47c | 1,094$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8606…831cbacked Under | 53c | 1,089$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3315…e722backed Over | 47c | 1,084$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…1ddcbacked Over | 47c | 1,074$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd53…fc2bbacked Over | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7898…ef88backed Over | 47c | 1,054$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9d…81c8backed Over | 47c | 1,053$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 44c | 958.7$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.33 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b43…2bcebacked Under | 53c | 919$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…3d7fbacked Under | 53c | 909$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b74…8f43backed Under | 53c | 828$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…3c91backed Under | 53c | 808$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc919…c851backed Under | 53c | 666$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 43c | 213$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.59 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 45c | 199.98$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.99 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 57c | 155.73$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.21 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Over | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 55c | 139.92$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.56 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 54c | 125.87$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Under | 58c | 95.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 243 | 63.8%155 W · 88 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 30c | 89.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 59c | 80.88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…7693backed Over | 43c | 69.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Under | 58c | 59.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 479 | 48.6%233 W · 246 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 41c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Under | 59c | 41.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 46c | 40.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 57c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f9…4375backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…18b9backed Under | 57c | 35.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…0320backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 56c | 30.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49bb…4d4cbacked Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 55c | 18.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 228.5this page
- Bulls vs. NetsNets won
- Bulls vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineNets won
- Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 224.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 225.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 226.5Under won
- Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Spread: Bulls (-1.5)Nets won
- Spread: Bulls (-2.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.