TailMyPicks
Market

NHL · resolved market

Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Maple Leafsof Hurricanes, Maple Leafs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,964
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,233

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,964 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40e3…0787backed Hurricanes4c5,434$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.7732331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Hurricanes1c3,259$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0914949.7%74 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Maple Leafs47c2,926$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.8123642.8%101 W · 135 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Hurricanes53c2,200$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1665450%27 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6bc1…4534backed Hurricanes53c2,002$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.03728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a27…b9ddbacked Maple Leafs47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0601758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Hurricanes1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Hurricanes53c1,473$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.731,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hurricanes12c1,364$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.293,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Hurricanes52c1,192$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.841,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c8d…d880backed Maple Leafs48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.672254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Hurricanes3c1,011$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3444848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Maple Leafs47c498.99$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.3972444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Maple Leafs46c491.13$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.2197651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Maple Leafs46c469.93$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.7620751.2%106 W · 101 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Maple Leafs74c441.87$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.7185464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9969…c885backed Maple Leafs47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeeb9…1b90backed Hurricanes54c305.56$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Maple Leafs47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.771,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Maple Leafs46c160$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.41,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1659…a47bbacked Hurricanes53c143.57$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.09250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70d5…3f12backed Hurricanes53c119.7$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Maple Leafs53c118.05$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5284051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70d3…a474backed Hurricanes53c115.62$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bed…3b01backed Hurricanes53c113.66$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.24850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x090d…9345backed Maple Leafs47c108.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.761172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+47.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Maple Leafs47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.381,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Maple Leafs47c105.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.57444.6%33 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0765…b732backed Hurricanes53c103.16$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.67771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe46…164dbacked Maple Leafs47c102.13$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5542…a283backed Hurricanes54c101.85$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Maple Leafs47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5322246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5632…748dbacked Hurricanes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-58.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Hurricanes53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5381846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc85a…8cd8backed Hurricanes53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537957%45 W · 34 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7a1…ad7bbacked Maple Leafs77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234957.1%28 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ce…670abacked Hurricanes53c97.87$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c5a…1aefbacked Hurricanes53c97.81$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.84450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04ef…c0f1backed Hurricanes53c94.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Maple Leafs70c87.87$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3692848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ef…9ea8backed Hurricanes53c85.36$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked Maple Leafs47c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.415730.6%48 W · 109 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b0b…fa94backed Hurricanes53c77.5$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.08977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+35.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Maple Leafs46c75.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0449351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaf1…e8c8backed Hurricanes53c75.16$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.83633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-33.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Hurricanes53c74.77$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406454.7%35 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa954…b8edbacked Hurricanes54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b87…9e1dbacked Hurricanes53c67.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.03757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc435…cfacbacked Maple Leafs47c67.16$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.59966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+40.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb57…0c84backed Maple Leafs47c63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.391181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.5wins+0.32per pick50cpaid+61.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5f0b…39d4backed Maple Leafs47c61$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.33862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffe4…af21backed Maple Leafs47c61$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.331020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-61.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x49a0…42bcbacked Maple Leafs47c60.33$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.971154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3585…1595backed Maple Leafs46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.48440.5%34 W · 50 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x635d…5025backed Hurricanes54c52$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.087936.7%29 W · 50 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x37e8…56acbacked Hurricanes53c48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.441050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc29…1b83backed Maple Leafs47c44.68$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.681266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43f1…8df9backed Maple Leafs47c44.66$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.67955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9c5…603dbacked Hurricanes54c44.63$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.11233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f6d…3e7cbacked Hurricanes53c44.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.59728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0731…7bc1backed Maple Leafs47c44.5$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.58771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+45.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6c3…a5c2backed Maple Leafs47c44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.321040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc261…a986backed Hurricanes53c44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.32944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82ee…952dbacked Hurricanes53c43.66$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.141145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e96…c1bbbacked Maple Leafs47c43.66$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.14683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+46.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x572e…c4b2backed Maple Leafs47c43.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.96633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Maple Leafs47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5533145%149 W · 182 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8923…4b8ebacked Hurricanes53c42.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.531145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7308…8058backed Maple Leafs48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.671435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-37.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x075e…9c35backed Maple Leafs47c40.16$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.281275%9 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+36.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d23…82f7backed Maple Leafs47c38.02$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.15475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1701…8d0ebacked Maple Leafs47c36.6$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+70%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x95ac…6072backed Hurricanes53c35.16$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.631258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef2d…7c6abacked Hurricanes53c33.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0140%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b0b…af48backed Maple Leafs47c33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.49742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8d7…feefbacked Maple Leafs47c32.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.13862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe456…3be8backed Maple Leafs47c32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.961050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd0…e726backed Hurricanes53c32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.96850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742c…21aabacked Maple Leafs47c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.91785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.44per pick41cpaid+121%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1006…35adbacked Hurricanes53c30.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.26887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.32per pick56cpaid+60.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ee0…f4adbacked Maple Leafs47c30.66$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.251346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54f5…9093backed Maple Leafs49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.618638.4%33 W · 53 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d58…72bcbacked Maple Leafs47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x964f…9068backed Hurricanes54c29.85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.12450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d9a…0253backed Maple Leafs47c29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.371353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd4…8643backed Hurricanes53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518259.9%109 W · 73 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9544…f3fbbacked Hurricanes54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515549.7%77 W · 78 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x463d…49f3backed Hurricanes54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick44cpaid-73.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x648b…89b4backed Hurricanes54c27.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.97633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-44%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7183…dcc3backed Maple Leafs47c27.66$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.661050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa656…dc14backed Hurricanes54c26.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.31837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc46c…1100backed Hurricanes54c25.65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.85450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0496…2f47backed Hurricanes54c25.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.58650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cce…3143backed Maple Leafs47c25.02$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc80e…b59dbacked Hurricanes53c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.25633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-44.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b58…a245backed Maple Leafs47c23.4$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+39.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42e9…bfabbacked Hurricanes53c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.191154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d4b…7247backed Maple Leafs47c22.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.921233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd372…0765backed Hurricanes53c22.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.93837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa77c…cb14backed Maple Leafs50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.