TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Utah vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Utah, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,002
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,650

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,002 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40e3…0787backed Utah5c7,107$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.4732331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Utah38c2,224$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.781,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bc1…4534backed Kings61c2,130$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.7728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a27…b9ddbacked Utah39c2,125$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.751758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2b2…66d8backed Kings66c1,725$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.572356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Utah4c1,706$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6714012.9%18 W · 122 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaec…dd15backed Utah1c1,530$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Utah1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Utah17c911.34$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.931,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Kings63c841.04$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.8885148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Utah37c811$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.0772847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bce…3c3abacked Kings65c740$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2591100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Utah38c682.47$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.341,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Utah40c603.93$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.472444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Kings62c510$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19437254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9969…c885backed Kings60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Kings61c341.22$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0815663.5%99 W · 57 L+17.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xedfa…a3f5backed Utah20c333$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Kings68c279.24$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.7411051.8%57 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Kings62c263$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9424457.4%140 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Utah20c250.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503324.2%8 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe167…fec8backed Utah42c236.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Kings62c217.74$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.741,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ff9…e494backed Utah20c202.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-36.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945e…2acabacked Utah33c173.9$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.358950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Utah37c164.4$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8360549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kings62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.291,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2133…9ef1backed Kings62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Kings64c156.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5638040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Utah39c150.98$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8854349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd08…8b7dbacked Kings61c149.48$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Utah36c140.69$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.651,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b2…35f9backed Utah18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Utah37c109.83$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0449351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Kings63c109.59$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5528542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Kings62c105.36$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.918452.2%96 W · 88 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Kings59c103.27$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4466951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Utah40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Kings60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407444.6%33 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Kings62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3854418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Utah38c99.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3827643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Kings60c92$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.81,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Utah41c88$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0821255.7%118 W · 94 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kings63c85.56$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2891334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f6d…3e7cbacked Utah38c83.83$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.86728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d58…72bcbacked Kings61c83$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.37757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8fc…41efbacked Utah39c82.33$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.11875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+33.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fbe…7ef3backed Kings61c81.83$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.915100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8cde…98acbacked Kings62c78.73$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5763…36cebacked Utah39c74.66$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.12633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb4e…ab3cbacked Utah40c74.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34a4…93fcbacked Kings62c70.33$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.731172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x75b6…8ad0backed Utah20c65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Utah38c64.1$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3697651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bd4…8643backed Kings63c57.14$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1418259.9%109 W · 73 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf396…f850backed Utah38c56$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.281346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc023…ef68backed Kings61c54.5$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.26850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8923…4b8ebacked Utah39c54.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.191145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…8071backed Kings62c53.83$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.46933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc80e…b59dbacked Kings61c52.33$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.41633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-44.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x635d…5025backed Utah38c51.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.767936.7%29 W · 50 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4a1…6c7cbacked Utah39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c87…5eb4backed Utah40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7308…8058backed Kings70c49.58$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.781435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-37.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd028…4b0fbacked Utah39c46.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.141020%2 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-59.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x95c5…e4eebacked Kings61c45.66$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.81837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33e9…b169backed Utah44c45.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43f1…8df9backed Kings62c44.5$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.91955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dc9…de5fbacked Kings62c44.33$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.851369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a22…dd3bbacked Utah40c43.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b0b…af48backed Utah39c42.83$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe4b…7e1abacked Utah38c41.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18ec…7c97backed Utah39c41.03$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b96…27cbbacked Kings62c40.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.32837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Kings63c39.81$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8145954.2%249 W · 210 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eca…4b94backed Utah39c38.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.021136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f10…bf5abacked Utah39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152853.6%15 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b4…5fa9backed Kings78c38.06$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.363577.1%27 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1006…35adbacked Kings61c37.66$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.69887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.32per pick56cpaid+60.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd6c3…a5c2backed Utah38c37.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.191040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d9a…0253backed Utah39c37.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.561353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42e9…bfabbacked Kings61c37.33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.561154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc269…7d3bbacked Kings61c37$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.43862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c2…a3fcbacked Kings61c36.17$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.11850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ee0…f4adbacked Utah39c35.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.851346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eda…4173backed Kings61c34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.26875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xffe4…af21backed Utah39c34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.261020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-61.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x075e…9c35backed Kings61c33.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.071275%9 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+36.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd372…0765backed Utah39c33.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.07837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82ee…952dbacked Kings61c32.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.681145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d4b…7247backed Utah39c32.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.681233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fe…3800backed Kings62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.261471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+59.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2686…7a67backed Kings63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.759665.6%63 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9423…6521backed Utah40c31.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68bd…f52fbacked Utah38c31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.78944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42bc…4cacbacked Kings61c30.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5cc…4ebebacked Kings61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.71145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e5…97e5backed Utah39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.32per pick56cpaid+53.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4c07…8e6ebacked Kings62c28.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.83650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb61b…3ac2backed Utah39c28.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.12933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.