TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Angels vs. Royals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Angelsof Angels, Royals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$802,005
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$804,470

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $802,005 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Angels41c448,400$182,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266,055.9838043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked Angels40c248,411$100,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147,846.559440.4%38 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Royals60c78,571$47,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,131.2635952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Royals60c75,000$44,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,62522852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Royals59c71,617$42,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,253.9660249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Royals59c60,887$35,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,923.591,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Royals60c50,000$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,00055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Royals59c49,876$29,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,412.76653%35 W · 31 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Royals60c49,575$29,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,499.2717156.1%96 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Royals60c44,684$26,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,630.9723455.6%130 W · 104 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Royals59c43,083$25,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,487.0163152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Royals59c38,367$22,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,636.531,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Royals60c37,000$22,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,20038047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Royals59c34,788$20,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,584.6438751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Royals59c18,888$11,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,232.830255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Royals59c17,537$10,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,346.831,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Royals59c13,500$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0001,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Angels42c8,967$3,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,236.2333845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Angels42c7,790$3,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,542.712,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Royals59c7,582$4,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,501.312,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Royals60c6,463$3,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,848.5721747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Royals59c5,555$3,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,277.451,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Royals15c5,123$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.3278445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Royals47c3,963$1,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,844.831,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Royals57c3,312$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,888.0211553%61 W · 54 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x081c…f010backed Royals58c2,566$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.27659.2%45 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Royals59c2,500$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47595850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x25f2…edf8backed Angels42c2,262$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.884955.1%27 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Royals60c2,169$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.6919742.6%84 W · 113 L-13.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Royals59c2,134$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.0620747.8%99 W · 108 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Royals60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20071751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd4a…048ebacked Royals59c2,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1707247.2%34 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Royals60c1,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a27…b9ddbacked Angels40c1,503$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.791553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Royals60c1,500$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9006536.9%24 W · 41 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Royals59c1,471$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.849842.9%42 W · 56 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Angels40c1,225$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73511456.1%64 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Angels33c1,211$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.2543949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Royals60c1,200$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72083248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Royals58c1,104$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.491,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Angels39c951.18$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.2250843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb10e…beedbacked Royals57c855.97$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.93046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Angels40c750$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Angels42c744.05$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.5570946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Royals59c720$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.820748.8%101 W · 106 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked Royals59c701.47$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.8714055.7%78 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Royals61c655.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40038455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Royals2c650$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Royals60c625$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37543654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Royals59c608.98$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.8373149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Royals60c585$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35126650.8%135 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Angels40c500.01$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.233,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Royals59c499.99$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.9917243%74 W · 98 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Angels41c487.76$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.7856351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40ab…fbb5backed Royals60c420.8$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.4816654.8%91 W · 75 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x255a…d68cbacked Royals58c373.28$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.56657.6%38 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Royals59c350.73$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.9380955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Angels40c350$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5184…df62backed Angels41c317.07$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.071855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37bb…9a96backed Royals60c317$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.21435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Royals58c299.98$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.9930151.5%155 W · 146 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Royals59c278.43$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.281,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Angels54c273.71$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.44,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Angels48c249.98$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.4935245.5%160 W · 192 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c38…5e7cbacked Angels41c211.61$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.133265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Angels61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7840152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Angels56c198.32$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.3239160.4%236 W · 155 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1888…e1cbbacked Angels42c171.43$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.433043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dcb…3b30backed Angels41c168.59$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.473056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Royals60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Royals60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Royals60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10078454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0ac…76ffbacked Royals60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006847.1%32 W · 36 L-7.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc3b6…97b7backed Royals60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x303f…4c97backed Angels42c166.02$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.292941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4628…5ea0backed Angels42c158.48$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.923151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x755a…45afbacked Angels41c147.95$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.293053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Angels30c147.1$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.4970841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e3…fff7backed Royals60c138.72$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.863557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x113b…70b5backed Royals60c138.58$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.752740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Angels39c138.36$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9285047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Royals36c137.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010537.1%39 W · 66 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Angels41c133.29$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.641,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e9c…95a1backed Angels40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7540144.1%177 W · 224 L-17.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Royals59c120.92$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3410459.6%62 W · 42 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadc4…1ce3backed Angels37c120$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.618446.2%85 W · 99 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f77…3f95backed Royals59c113.98$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.252842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb219…9f58backed Angels42c113.55$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.863262.5%20 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc5b4…3e3cbacked Royals60c110.15$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.092842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Royals63c109.52$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6999951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x448a…f2b7backed Royals60c107.15$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.293151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Angels41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5945732.2%147 W · 310 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef54…c997backed Royals60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020851.9%108 W · 100 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Royals64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6414153.9%76 W · 65 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7eb3…cf01backed Royals60c96.72$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.813129%9 W · 22 L-7.1wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xfe2c…4ae8backed Royals60c91.67$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5524051.7%124 W · 116 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b2b…5752backed Royals15c86.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137445.9%34 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Royals61c86.04$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.729,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Royals59c84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.561,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad26…981dbacked Royals60c79.95$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.972846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.