NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x082952cf9a0f317aa880edc01623bfc0daa915f8517f71994e11d9577fe1b26e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Stars, Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Devils | 11c | 8,630$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.62 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…4534backed Devils | 52c | 2,002$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.03 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Devils | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a27…b9ddbacked Stars | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Devils | 51c | 2,000$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.3 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Devils | 11c | 1,716$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.4 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Devils | 26c | 1,164$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.1 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Devils | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c89…05a4backed Devils | 49c | 995$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae9…6422backed Stars | 51c | 980$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Stars | 48c | 898.25$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.09 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Devils | 18c | 865.27$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.75 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Stars | 66c | 840.71$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.71 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Devils | 52c | 837.79$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.65 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Stars | 74c | 708.3$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.5 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Devils | 47c | 619.42$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.13 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Stars | 52c | 604.99$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.5 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Stars | 69c | 485.66$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.33 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe425…6155backed Stars | 48c | 369$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7656backed Devils | 52c | 369$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Devils | 35c | 316.46$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.72 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…721bbacked Stars | 49c | 306.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.21 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Devils | 51c | 305.04$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.3 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…8bc0backed Devils | 52c | 263.7$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.12 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…e793backed Stars | 49c | 206.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.08 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5085…ab8fbacked Stars | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Stars | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Stars | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Stars | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…3757backed Devils | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Devils | 19c | 169.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Devils | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Stars | 50c | 100.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Stars | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Devils | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4b…7e1abacked Devils | 49c | 88.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Stars | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 157 | 30.6%48 W · 109 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ac…6072backed Stars | 51c | 67.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6743…8811backed Stars | 51c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6287…32b3backed Devils | 49c | 65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Devils | 49c | 52.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Stars | 48c | 51.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…0dc6backed Stars | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee8…6c99backed Stars | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Devils | 52c | 45.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…1c40backed Devils | 49c | 44.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68bd…f52fbacked Devils | 49c | 44.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0731…7bc1backed Stars | 51c | 44.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…e4acbacked Stars | 51c | 44.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Stars | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Stars | 48c | 41.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4af…0770backed Stars | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6851…1360backed Devils | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0d…9a6dbacked Stars | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c87…5eb4backed Stars | 50c | 39.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Stars | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b9…a5d5backed Devils | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8f…66abbacked Devils | 53c | 34.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…9093backed Devils | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a5…877dbacked Devils | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Devils | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade1…8dcabacked Stars | 48c | 27.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7aa…9e38backed Devils | 53c | 27.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf698…47dcbacked Devils | 53c | 27.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3801…e27fbacked Stars | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b58…a245backed Stars | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19af…4d7ebacked Stars | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Devils | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed Devils | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.