MLB · resolved market
Yankees vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4db2d8e9e5d1b727184dd9c3857b78a4609f01c2dd05daab4b22bbfcd8fffbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Yankees, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $327,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $337,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $327,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 405 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Astros | 47c | 191,464$89,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,988.11 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yankees | 53c | 151,165$80,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,047.63 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yankees | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,400 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Astros | 48c | 12,232$5,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,866 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Yankees | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yankees | 53c | 8,700$4,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,089 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Astros | 46c | 8,280$3,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,811.45 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 34c | 6,815$2,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.99 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Yankees | 73c | 6,739$4,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.55 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Yankees | 52c | 6,699$3,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,215.43 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yankees | 53c | 6,003$3,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,795.17 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a27…b9ddbacked Yankees | 51c | 5,799$2,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,841.51 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Astros | 49c | 5,799$2,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,841.51 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yankees | 54c | 5,516$2,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,537.23 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Yankees | 53c | 5,348$2,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510.63 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 53c | 4,297$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.28 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yankees | 52c | 4,221$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,023.83 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Yankees | 53c | 2,231$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.57 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Astros | 49c | 2,215$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.21 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Yankees | 73c | 2,061$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.14 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Yankees | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Astros | 47c | 1,833$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.03 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…2e0cbacked Yankees | 52c | 1,817$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…90c6backed Yankees | 52c | 1,779$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Astros | 45c | 1,774$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…1e99backed Astros | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Astros | 51c | 1,496$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.24 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yankees | 52c | 1,396$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.56 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39c2…21a2backed Astros | 48c | 1,335$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Astros | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76de…8945backed Astros | 48c | 1,156$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…c260backed Yankees | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6d…df6abacked Yankees | 52c | 1,146$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.08 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…9076backed Astros | 48c | 1,144$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.12 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yankees | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Yankees | 53c | 1,000$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Astros | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Astros | 47c | 857.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Astros | 46c | 720$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.2 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Yankees | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Astros | 48c | 692$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.16 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yankees | 49c | 664.49$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.89 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Yankees | 56c | 656$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.64 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Astros | 2c | 646.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yankees | 50c | 639.28$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.64 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Astros | 49c | 637.76$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.5 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Astros | 24c | 612.95$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.18 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5911…a5a8backed Astros | 49c | 608.16$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yankees | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yankees | 52c | 576$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.48 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Astros | 46c | 564.61$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.72 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Yankees | 54c | 540$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.4 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Astros | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68d…9b4abacked Astros | 29c | 497.6$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Yankees | 45c | 456.91$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.27 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…eb60backed Astros | 48c | 444$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Astros | 47c | 424.96$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.83 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yankees | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…9012backed Yankees | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Astros | 48c | 397.41$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.76 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Astros | 5c | 380$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Astros | 21c | 357.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Astros | 47c | 350.06$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.53 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Astros | 47c | 349.02$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.51 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Astros | 46c | 325.92$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.03 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7b…179ebacked Astros | 48c | 317$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1dd…a008backed Astros | 49c | 302.04$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Astros | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Astros | 27c | 299.21$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.21 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Yankees | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Astros | 25c | 217.81$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Astros | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1888…e1cbbacked Astros | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…9bb4backed Astros | 47c | 206.38$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Astros | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d6…bec9backed Astros | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd0…7efcbacked Astros | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e40…4efabacked Astros | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…e142backed Yankees | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…ebcfbacked Yankees | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…b9eabacked Astros | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…78e3backed Yankees | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc94…72debacked Yankees | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…cdf1backed Yankees | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb523…0d72backed Yankees | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…220bbacked Yankees | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2916…bb5bbacked Astros | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…f24dbacked Astros | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf50e…b539backed Yankees | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c6…ce67backed Yankees | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab5…dce6backed Yankees | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…5d65backed Yankees | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…23e4backed Yankees | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6b…122dbacked Yankees | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f3…94d4backed Yankees | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…12e8backed Yankees | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c32…7ff0backed Astros | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…d9d0backed Astros | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c7…c60fbacked Astros | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa308…46aebacked Yankees | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yankees vs. Astrosthis page
- Spread: Yankees (-1.5)Yankees won
- Yankees vs. Astros: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.