Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Lazio beat Dynamo Kiev?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1f774801279ffe5c97017ccd363177a41ff6f40086f8d580a054283249c6fd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc462…5e7abacked Yes | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…d82dbacked Yes | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 56c | 815.12$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.61 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 57c | 743.72$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.92 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 44c | 683.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.33 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Yes | 46c | 555$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.7 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 52cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 51c | 334.61$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.65 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe01d…c11fbacked Yes | 40c | 120$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a90…97bdbacked No | 60c | 120$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 57c | 114.12$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.05 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes | 48c | 104.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90fd…3443backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61b2…785bbacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa673…27c8backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6817…2404backed Yes | 43c | 72.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +139.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 55c | 53.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d6…e639backed Yes | 44c | 51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed No | 58c | 49.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 57c | 48.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5be…8728backed Yes | 43c | 46.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +50%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007a…7f5ebacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 43c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…7d5abacked Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9c…56a9backed Yes | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79a2…e288backed Yes | 43c | 27.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf542…90c4backed No | 57c | 21.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lazio beat Dynamo Kiev?this page
- Will Dynamo Kiev beat Lazio?No won
- Will the match between Dynamo Kiev and Lazio end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.