TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Rangers vs. Penguins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rangersof Rangers, Penguins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,396
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,734

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,396 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40e3…0787backed Rangers41c10,428$4,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,112.2832331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Rangers55c5,277$2,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,373.071,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Penguins49c5,165$2,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,554.8323642.8%101 W · 135 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Penguins57c5,131$2,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,935.852441.7%10 W · 14 L-5.9wins-0.25per pick66cpaid-42.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Penguins78c4,063$3,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,171.3114949.7%74 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Rangers58c3,446$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,445.72245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Penguins45c3,123$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.2325340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rangers42c2,634$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,538.773,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Penguins41c2,315$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.129847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6357…63febacked Penguins43c2,305$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.24728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8086…22b7backed Rangers57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-36.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa870…96debacked Rangers57c1,995$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers36c1,821$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.561,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01a…2485backed Penguins43c1,665$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.151936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Penguins34c1,392$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.6411051.8%57 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Rangers53c1,313$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.784051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Penguins42c1,280$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.4111145.9%51 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2440…bf2ebacked Penguins58c1,250$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+290.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd691…c935backed Penguins43c1,209$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.72425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x732b…85f4backed Penguins31c1,134$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.556050%30 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd56b…903dbacked Rangers56c1,070$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.81258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ebf…6925backed Penguins44c1,070$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.81266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Penguins44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Penguins43c999.99$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43020751.2%106 W · 101 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57b2…604ebacked Rangers57c975.56$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.492100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa14d…d4d8backed Penguins43c930.84$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdc4…6651backed Rangers58c860.52$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.421136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd87…f55ebacked Rangers78c749.88$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.61875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Penguins44c704.99$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.272444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf080…cc17backed Rangers57c609.42$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7398…34d2backed Rangers57c554.5$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Rangers37c540.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.5421620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Rangers56c519.13$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.421,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9c3…daecbacked Penguins42c510.71$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d16…be0ebacked Penguins45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40ae…b38dbacked Rangers59c439.68$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rangers55c413.6$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.1272847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Rangers55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1806654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rangers22c397.29$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.8992848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78cf…77e6backed Penguins47c380.79$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.971050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Penguins42c357.14$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018136.5%66 W · 115 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Penguins64c349.45$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.6823761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8d…3eeabacked Penguins27c338.91$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9340%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Penguins46c305.7$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1408644.2%38 W · 48 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked Rangers56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1323542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12ce…a6abbacked Penguins44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1323557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae36…0dc6backed Rangers50c294.65$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.326246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Penguins43c279.94$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.3875155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18c3…6ed4backed Penguins55c275$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb56…7a64backed Rangers59c251.75$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.222100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Penguins43c243$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.491,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75b6…8ad0backed Penguins45c241.54$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.513943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x519f…2af7backed Penguins44c228.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007044.3%31 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Penguins44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa718…fdc4backed Rangers57c225.88$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.133100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Penguins45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e83…a4a0backed Penguins45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010147.5%48 W · 53 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Rangers79c203.56$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5641757.3%239 W · 178 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb4e…ab3cbacked Penguins42c166.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x921e…5acbbacked Penguins44c159.09$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Rangers38c152.05$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.2754418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rangers36c151.02$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.1591334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf482…d3c3backed Rangers40c150$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903141.9%13 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Penguins43c144.61$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1860549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Rangers57c130.89$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8976450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Penguins42c129.98$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4928440.1%114 W · 170 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Rangers51c128.88$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7411354%61 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcef6…4641backed Penguins42c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.42931%9 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3585…1595backed Penguins43c111.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488440.5%34 W · 50 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Penguins45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Rangers41c110.59$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2533145%149 W · 182 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8bf…c049backed Rangers55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.094643.5%20 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f7c…9ad0backed Rangers57c101.75$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.75650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Rangers58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424827.1%13 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Penguins45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4522246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x927f…e7e7backed Penguins44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410124.8%25 W · 76 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-35.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc85a…8cd8backed Penguins44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447957%45 W · 34 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe11e…ff89backed Rangers57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-39.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Penguins13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132540%10 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Rangers58c99.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4281846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd22c…c656backed Rangers37c91.56$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.682948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd5…fd80backed Rangers57c91.23$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.231181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.25per pick56cpaid+50.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9f10…bf5abacked Rangers56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.292853.6%15 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x251a…ff94backed Penguins45c85$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6527…6c04backed Penguins43c84.86$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked Penguins44c80.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.215730.6%48 W · 109 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a5e…fe79backed Rangers56c80.49$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aea…6617backed Penguins44c79.55$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb50…10d7backed Rangers59c71.19$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.19955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x665e…f0d0backed Penguins45c65$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebdf…7e57backed Rangers57c65$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf66b…14b1backed Penguins44c63.64$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbc4…b553backed Penguins45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfecf…7b06backed Penguins44c54.55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Rangers57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6311365.5%74 W · 39 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd9e…db11backed Penguins43c51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.93757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6cf…0c5abacked Rangers57c50.88$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.881145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7133…25d2backed Penguins45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa44a…89febacked Rangers56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f51…91aabacked Penguins44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.