MLB · resolved market
Tigers vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb00f5230f7b050e506ebbe8ccd3925b8204c29ae51f480e2972d9f1d42ae7127
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Tigers, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $203,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $205,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 523 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Tigers | 43c | 75,236$32,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,236.71 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Phillies | 57c | 25,011$14,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,751.45 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Phillies | 57c | 18,096$10,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,781.28 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Phillies | 61c | 8,242$5,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,189.57 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Phillies | 57c | 8,000$4,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,440 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Phillies | 57c | 6,500$3,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,795 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Tigers | 42c | 5,725$2,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,404.5 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 58c | 5,392$3,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.7 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Tigers | 42c | 5,123$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.66 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Phillies | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Phillies | 16c | 4,956$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,156.01 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Phillies | 18c | 4,395$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,608.37 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Phillies | 32c | 4,361$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,963.46 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers | 56c | 4,201$2,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,357.43 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Phillies | 57c | 3,901$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.38 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Phillies | 58c | 3,252$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.84 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Phillies | 58c | 2,900$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3d…f0c9backed Phillies | 58c | 2,600$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 52cpaid | +75%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Phillies | 60c | 2,512$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.22 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Phillies | 57c | 2,200$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946 | 496 | 50.2%249 W · 247 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Tigers | 42c | 2,116$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.87 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…a0c0backed Phillies | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Phillies | 58c | 1,988$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.03 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Phillies | 58c | 1,613$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.34 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Phillies | 42c | 1,548$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.43 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Phillies | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Tigers | 64c | 1,487$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phillies | 57c | 1,340$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.79 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Tigers | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 623 | 46.2%288 W · 335 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 29c | 1,181$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.24 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Tigers | 43c | 1,153$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.59 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Tigers | 41c | 1,105$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.03 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Phillies | 58c | 1,092$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.64 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Tigers | 41c | 1,041$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.81 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Phillies | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…a222backed Tigers | 42c | 999.98$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…f9d9backed Phillies | 57c | 999.98$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Phillies | 60c | 997.71$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.71 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Tigers | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Tigers | 43c | 928.56$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.28 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c93…d494backed Tigers | 42c | 899.99$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb2…01b4backed Phillies | 59c | 881.36$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.36 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Phillies | 17c | 863.96$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.53 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8463…a509backed Tigers | 42c | 840$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Tigers | 42c | 800$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54df…3449backed Tigers | 42c | 799.99$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Phillies | 54c | 795.3$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.84 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3a…795dbacked Tigers | 43c | 750$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Tigers | 42c | 749.99$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa922…aa8cbacked Phillies | 57c | 749.98$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…5109backed Tigers | 42c | 700$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d09…2445backed Phillies | 58c | 700$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…7829backed Tigers | 42c | 700$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe97d…5e65backed Tigers | 42c | 659.97$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Phillies | 22c | 650$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Phillies | 58c | 572$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.24 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bf…2ab3backed Phillies | 59c | 566.1$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.1 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Phillies | 58c | 527.43$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.43 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Phillies | 58c | 522$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.24 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Tigers | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Phillies | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x739c…3b48backed Phillies | 58c | 491.24$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.32 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff17…da9fbacked Tigers | 43c | 491.12$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.18 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Phillies | 41c | 478.05$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.47 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Tigers | 74c | 427.09$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Phillies | 57c | 424.95$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.73 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Phillies | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Tigers | 43c | 406.98$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Phillies | 65c | 404.85$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.7 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Phillies | 59c | 402.73$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.12 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Phillies | 39c | 400$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Tigers | 42c | 399.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Phillies | 59c | 358.34$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.92 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Phillies | 28c | 358.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.06 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Tigers | 42c | 350$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c39…b7a6backed Phillies | 58c | 344.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.64 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Tigers | 42c | 341.67$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Phillies | 19c | 340.62$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.4 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Phillies | 58c | 324.14$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.14 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Tigers | 35c | 314.41$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.71 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Tigers | 67c | 311.69$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.33 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Tigers | 42c | 309.97$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.19 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Tigers | 42c | 300.65$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.28 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Tigers | 41c | 280$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.8 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Phillies | 57c | 272.34$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.1 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Tigers | 42c | 255$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Phillies | 22c | 250.68$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.83 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Phillies | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 58c | 239.39$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.54 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Tigers | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…8d11backed Tigers | 43c | 234.72$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Tigers | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Phillies | 28c | 217.11$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.32 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…8d34backed Tigers | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a5…6751backed Phillies | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…afb5backed Tigers | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…5b02backed Tigers | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5936…4c34backed Phillies | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.