NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11f1cfbfe078183a353bfc7055c70f2763c2a4ab2486de0bb53ed6288868e4f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Oilers, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1699…80e2backed Oilers | 56c | 66,017$36,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,969.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b2…e9e8backed Capitals | 44c | 66,017$29,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,969.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Capitals | 46c | 10,504$4,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,683.3 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Oilers | 12c | 9,578$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.14 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Oilers | 55c | 8,037$4,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,420.08 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Capitals | 71c | 5,555$3,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.94 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -5.9wins | -0.25per pick | 66cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa074…49c3backed Capitals | 46c | 4,365$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Capitals | 45c | 4,127$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.07 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Oilers | 37c | 3,615$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.56 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Oilers | 54c | 3,577$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.45 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers | 54c | 3,436$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.79 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Capitals | 77c | 2,620$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.14 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Oilers | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.97 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Oilers | 54c | 2,441$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.77 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Oilers | 54c | 2,212$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.68 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…98a8backed Capitals | 46c | 2,170$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.43 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…a828backed Capitals | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Oilers | 55c | 2,000$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.13 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Capitals | 46c | 1,957$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.74 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Oilers | 55c | 1,892$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.61 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Capitals | 63c | 1,586$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.64 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8086…22b7backed Oilers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Oilers | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.99 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…2485backed Capitals | 46c | 1,499$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.45 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48dc…2ed2backed Oilers | 55c | 1,153$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad71…4c93backed Oilers | 54c | 1,085$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.9 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…ca8dbacked Oilers | 54c | 1,085$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.9 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Oilers | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Capitals | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Capitals | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d16…be0ebacked Oilers | 55c | 946.47$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…d6a7backed Capitals | 47c | 867.66$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Capitals | 43c | 859.52$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.93 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c3…daecbacked Capitals | 44c | 756.82$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Oilers | 55c | 746.25$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.2 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Oilers | 54c | 704.99$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.33 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Oilers | 54c | 662.06$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.72 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…85f4backed Oilers | 53c | 650.72$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.88 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Oilers | 53c | 619.8$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.3 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Capitals | 69c | 571.51$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.73 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Oilers | 53c | 534.98$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.54 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Capitals | 47c | 431.65$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.65 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ae…b38dbacked Oilers | 57c | 407.02$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Capitals | 46c | 366.67$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb50…10d7backed Oilers | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Capitals | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed4c…1712backed Oilers | 54c | 325.07$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Capitals | 47c | 323.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.93 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…b806backed Capitals | 47c | 321.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Capitals | 53c | 316.58$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.36 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf61b…f73ebacked Capitals | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Capitals | 48c | 300$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92e2…8ba1backed Capitals | 47c | 285$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Oilers | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…bde1backed Capitals | 45c | 217.78$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.78 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Capitals | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e33…233cbacked Capitals | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78cf…77e6backed Oilers | 54c | 197.17$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe408…232bbacked Oilers | 41c | 189.47$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.06 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x679c…e26fbacked Oilers | 67c | 189.45$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.93 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf351…7b01backed Capitals | 45c | 188.89$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Oilers | 55c | 182.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Oilers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Oilers | 59c | 158.49$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Capitals | 47c | 147.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.39 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Capitals | 34c | 147.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.13 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Capitals | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f5…07f1backed Oilers | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Oilers | 55c | 133.79$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.58 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…b15ebacked Capitals | 46c | 130$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Oilers | 54c | 128.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.29 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…fba0backed Oilers | 55c | 122.95$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Capitals | 47c | 117.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Oilers | 43c | 114.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Capitals | 44c | 109.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.59 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Capitals | 35c | 106.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.69 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Capitals | 36c | 106.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.35 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Capitals | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e9…b169backed Capitals | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f10…bf5abacked Capitals | 48c | 104.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.32 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7c…9ad0backed Capitals | 47c | 102.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Capitals | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85a…8cd8backed Capitals | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe11e…ff89backed Oilers | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31fc…596cbacked Capitals | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…23e9backed Oilers | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ce…5b71backed Capitals | 47c | 97.45$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d69…88bcbacked Capitals | 47c | 92.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Oilers | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…819fbacked Capitals | 32c | 88.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Capitals | 45c | 80.73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 157 | 30.6%48 W · 109 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x251a…ff94backed Capitals | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5e…fe79backed Oilers | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…37eabacked Oilers | 51c | 78.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2f…f304backed Capitals | 47c | 78.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Oilers | 54c | 77.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87dc…65ecbacked Oilers | 55c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed Oilers | 54c | 75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf3…d9b4backed Capitals | 47c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf897…d802backed Capitals | 44c | 72.73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.