NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d899f726697759c9aefbc5201022857c360dec910c9b12d449cfd57c575458c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $306,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $360,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 518 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa89e…fb60backed Thunder | 57c | 22,057$12,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,500.36 | 53 | 79.2%42 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 16,666$7,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,833.02 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Grizzlies | 1c | 11,494$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.34 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Thunder | 60c | 10,823$6,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,333.6 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Thunder | 57c | 6,086$3,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,629.73 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Grizzlies | 41c | 6,000$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…b2bdbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 5,500$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 46cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Grizzlies | 46c | 5,448$2,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,524.27 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Thunder | 54c | 5,325$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.61 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Thunder | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.97 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Grizzlies | 38c | 4,635$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.03 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Thunder | 54c | 4,586$2,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.61 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Thunder | 54c | 4,495$2,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.69 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Thunder | 57c | 4,487$2,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.89 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 4,046$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.12 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ed…5ec1backed Thunder | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 2c | 3,767$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.78 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 3,750$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.81 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies | 39c | 3,676$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.47 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Grizzlies | 0c | 3,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Thunder | 59c | 2,915$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.5 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…ffb3backed Grizzlies | 7c | 2,756$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 109 | 25.7%28 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Grizzlies | 45c | 2,590$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.49 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Grizzlies | 28c | 2,587$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.02 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Thunder | 54c | 2,388$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.38 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Grizzlies | 46c | 2,186$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Grizzlies | 44c | 2,129$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.57 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Grizzlies | 43c | 2,006$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.51 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1004…e818backed Thunder | 54c | 1,800$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef3…d60ebacked Grizzlies | 46c | 1,800$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Grizzlies | 46c | 1,769$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.06 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd61c…5953backed Thunder | 56c | 1,601$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…f94abacked Grizzlies | 44c | 1,600$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.95 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Thunder | 54c | 1,515$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.2 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f0…79e4backed Thunder | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Grizzlies | 20c | 1,500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.94 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…3af3backed Thunder | 73c | 1,399$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.97 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Grizzlies | 46c | 1,303$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.58 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Grizzlies | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…279fbacked Thunder | 69c | 1,260$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.22 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…7ff3backed Thunder | 58c | 1,196$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.2 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Grizzlies | 45c | 1,168$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.37 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…0ee5backed Thunder | 56c | 1,100$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.48 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Grizzlies | 47c | 1,100$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Grizzlies | 18c | 1,050$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…748dbacked Grizzlies | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,000$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.5 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c3…4d61backed Thunder | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 982$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.2 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Grizzlies | 15c | 902.54$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.01 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Grizzlies | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Grizzlies | 35c | 856.38$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Thunder | 52c | 849.99$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Thunder | 62c | 800$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37cd…5b44backed Grizzlies | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Thunder | 63c | 741.66$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.43 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…4340backed Grizzlies | 44c | 704.52$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.99 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Thunder | 55c | 700$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Grizzlies | 2c | 680$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa784…c046backed Grizzlies | 7c | 672.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 638$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.86 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Thunder | 59c | 631.47$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.82 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 604.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.14 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Grizzlies | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.66 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…ae33backed Grizzlies | 20c | 530.78$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.38 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb8…3667backed Thunder | 54c | 524.65$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.59 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a1…de7abacked Grizzlies | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…9b41backed Grizzlies | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd872…55ccbacked Thunder | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8760…a057backed Thunder | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…1305backed Thunder | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb80…69dabacked Thunder | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee2…251bbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf486…e6dfbacked Thunder | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacc…be87backed Thunder | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…611fbacked Thunder | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…2d54backed Thunder | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba4…f1babacked Thunder | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…59a4backed Thunder | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…d2a5backed Thunder | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +63%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc3af…357fbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…c2bbbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…eb45backed Thunder | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe487…6754backed Grizzlies | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3136…1a1dbacked Thunder | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x029f…afacbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0c…1f2bbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a40…82cebacked Grizzlies | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccda…f346backed Grizzlies | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…1ebabacked Grizzlies | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa730…3806backed Thunder | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd62…748cbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.75 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…e734backed Grizzlies | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4d…22a7backed Grizzlies | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c97…1054backed Grizzlies | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ed…a619backed Thunder | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…12dabacked Thunder | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0412…4c08backed Grizzlies | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…7242backed Grizzlies | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.