TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Stars vs. Canucks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Starsof Stars, Canucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,067
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,475

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,067 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3e04…564dbacked Stars56c8,641$4,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,789.281,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Canucks17c5,936$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.2932331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Canucks1c4,000$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Canucks45c3,524$1,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600.7192848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Canucks23c3,460$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.5544848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Canucks34c3,228$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.781,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Canucks44c3,062$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.5122842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Stars78c3,000$2,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.395858.6%34 W · 24 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-15.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x30d5…f0c8backed Stars57c2,312$1,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Canucks48c2,129$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.9286649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Canucks44c2,023$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Canucks43c1,998$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.2611145.9%51 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Stars53c1,943$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.432251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Canucks43c1,783$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.529459.6%56 W · 38 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4c40…5f2cbacked Stars57c1,503$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.29955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b6…2b6bbacked Canucks43c1,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.991050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Stars56c1,339$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.297634.2%26 W · 50 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf2b2…66d8backed Stars59c1,250$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.52356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe780…d32dbacked Stars57c1,200$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5161060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Stars54c1,053$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.81,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Stars54c1,028$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.7823761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4345…77fabacked Stars78c1,026$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.642263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Stars78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Canucks42c973.76$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.9137738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Canucks42c940.89$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.1649351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Canucks43c797.72$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.0697651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Stars52c664$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.724134.1%14 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ecb…f73abacked Canucks43c629.99$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.89475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+40.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Stars57c608.87$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.821,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Stars52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9212941.9%54 W · 75 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf7f…00c2backed Canucks43c565.16$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.02742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe4f…5241backed Stars62c545.81$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.36683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Stars59c512.68$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.6827958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked Canucks43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2153542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12ce…a6abbacked Stars57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2153557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe85d…15eabacked Stars54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2302927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-49.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Canucks47c497.87$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d44…b15ebacked Stars56c453$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.397550.7%38 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Canucks43c438.77$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.6764242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Canucks40c405.33$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.743,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Stars57c385.96$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.9612955.8%72 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Canucks42c370.54$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.6251044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Canucks43c365.99$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.3875155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Stars76c360$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.48350.6%42 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Stars52c336$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.281,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Canucks15c313.33$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7791334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Canucks45c305$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.5672444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Stars55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13537254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x235c…8c1abacked Canucks46c280.4$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.277256.9%41 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3061…dd00backed Stars74c239.77$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.341662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86bc…e3acbacked Canucks48c235$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.351346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Canucks43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed Stars58c215.6$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.67749.4%38 W · 39 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x90ba…8c56backed Canucks46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92147.1%1 W · 13 L-5.2wins-0.37per pick44cpaid-88.5%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Canucks46c193.08$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8279251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe22f…0f5dbacked Stars52c190.36$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.371353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd88f…8d2cbacked Stars57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4413837.7%52 W · 86 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9498…d2afbacked Stars59c169.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.611553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Stars77c156.43$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4311365.5%74 W · 39 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8ac…48e8backed Stars56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+40.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7125…8b04backed Stars51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.51464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f57…2ac8backed Canucks49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.51747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…6c73backed Canucks44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Canucks46c149.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7460549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36e9…d5aebacked Canucks43c130.23$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ee4…80f2backed Stars58c129.31$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.311573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7804…7025backed Stars52c128.77$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.811428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd724…eda0backed Stars76c120$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.81656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…bca0backed Canucks24c120$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8137.7%1 W · 12 L-4.7wins-0.36per pick44cpaid-84.6%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xa954…b8edbacked Stars57c116.37$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.044355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Canucks43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x366c…ec01backed Canucks43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79b2…4874backed Stars54c112.96$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.962948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d29…fae3backed Canucks44c105.23$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+64.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfbe…d9e2backed Stars53c105$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.351163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe486…c7b6backed Canucks47c105$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.351020%2 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-62.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ebb…267fbacked Canucks44c104.09$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde93…0c11backed Canucks44c103.23$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.42450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f89…a775backed Canucks45c102.09$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dde…6b67backed Canucks48c101.58$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.764235.7%15 W · 27 L-6.9wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-33.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Canucks46c101.07$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2584051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Canucks43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4335154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Stars58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4250857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Stars55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4527643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Stars57c99.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4366951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb56…c903backed Stars58c93.6$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.31650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf11…b073backed Stars57c93.3$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.81757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Canucks43c93.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4076450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481e…0808backed Stars57c92.91$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.95837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf072…4b79backed Stars58c92.17$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.71757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadf2…e309backed Stars58c91.57$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.56771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e8e…21a3backed Canucks44c91.41$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.22520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-65.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x582f…b966backed Canucks44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd19e…ac6dbacked Stars58c90.62$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.06650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1829…6c96backed Stars58c88.76$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.28757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+44.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8028…52e7backed Stars58c88.66$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.37955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b88…bbd7backed Stars57c88.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.96666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec8f…12f5backed Stars58c87.26$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.65862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd30b…cf54backed Stars57c87.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.16425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-56.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e83…9084backed Canucks44c86.75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.17742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.