MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ed9a4b88bcb015820e5e47576237f9d8c7d129d8835d161e1f7ce207f9d31e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Athletics, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Astros | 51c | 42,128$21,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,468.36 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Athletics | 44c | 15,487$6,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,672.5 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Astros | 32c | 6,199$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics | 44c | 5,392$2,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,035.97 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Athletics | 69c | 4,860$3,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.04 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Astros | 12c | 3,070$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.8 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Athletics | 54c | 3,041$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.54 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Athletics | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.98 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Athletics | 42c | 2,240$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.69 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Athletics | 38c | 2,148$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.73 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Astros | 42c | 2,071$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.57 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Athletics | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Astros | 1c | 1,893$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Athletics | 45c | 1,780$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.99 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Astros | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Astros | 55c | 1,652$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.04 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8826…fe47backed Astros | 61c | 1,600$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd1…4e2bbacked Athletics | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe837…0cfdbacked Athletics | 39c | 1,400$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Athletics | 43c | 1,373$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.53 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…50d3backed Astros | 61c | 1,300$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Astros | 50c | 1,218$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.8 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Astros | 55c | 1,110$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.5 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Athletics | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Astros | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Astros | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Athletics | 39c | 655.99$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.15 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Athletics | 45c | 650.43$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.93 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 59c | 627.36$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.21 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Athletics | 40c | 613$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.8 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Athletics | 45c | 607.74$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.26 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Athletics | 45c | 555$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.25 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Athletics | 40c | 516$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.6 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Athletics | 44c | 441$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.39 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Astros | 54c | 435.52$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.18 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Astros | 46c | 384.27$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Athletics | 43c | 350$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics | 65c | 335.27$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.53 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Athletics | 40c | 304.54$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.72 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Athletics | 46c | 300.65$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.35 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Athletics | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Astros | 55c | 270.97$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.03 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f5…7049backed Astros | 57c | 250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Athletics | 42c | 249.81$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.3 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Astros | 59c | 237.47$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.11 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2eb…123cbacked Astros | 68c | 235.63$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Athletics | 44c | 229.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.4 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Athletics | 45c | 228.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.91 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Athletics | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Athletics | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Athletics | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Astros | 56c | 222$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.32 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Athletics | 75c | 208.42$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Astros | 33c | 200.08$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.83 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Athletics | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Astros | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Athletics | 40c | 187.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Astros | 56c | 178.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Astros | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…5b87backed Astros | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Astros | 11c | 149$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2138…c26dbacked Astros | 56c | 140.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.95 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 69c | 135$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…3e7ebacked Athletics | 46c | 129.13$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.73 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a04…7fdabacked Astros | 62c | 128$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4f…894abacked Athletics | 38c | 128$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.36 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…6bf3backed Astros | 62c | 122$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.64 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b85…3d86backed Athletics | 38c | 122$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0127…7addbacked Astros | 63c | 110$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510a…cd0ebacked Athletics | 37c | 110$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Athletics | 44c | 102.55$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Astros | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.67 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Athletics | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Astros | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Athletics | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Astros | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Astros | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Athletics | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3260…c4fbbacked Astros | 57c | 92.02$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Athletics | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7797…dff4backed Athletics | 45c | 90.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Astros | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ad…2582backed Astros | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Athletics | 46c | 88.28$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Athletics | 79c | 77$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Astros | 60c | 67.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.52 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Astros | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Astros | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Athletics | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Athletics | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…4042backed Athletics | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…3232backed Athletics | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf62…227dbacked Athletics | 44c | 45.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Athletics | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Athletics | 40c | 41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Athletics | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…cc49backed Astros | 60c | 39.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Astros | 42c | 37.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef7…bd03backed Astros | 50c | 36.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Athletics | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.