Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Tottenham beat Qarabag?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1be9cc3d53da524e47cd372f735bfc69ff1cb6724cf9b25f596d6eac7f97687
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 14c | 38,464$5,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,419.63 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 14c | 15,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.96 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -63%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 15c | 8,500$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.98 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed No | 15c | 5,322$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.28 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 15c | 5,100$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No | 15c | 4,555$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.23 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +50%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 22c | 2,347$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.53 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e3…246bbacked Yes | 78c | 1,718$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf733…0c22backed No | 15c | 1,067$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…8839backed No | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 26c | 577.77$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.22 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0898…42d5backed No | 15c | 526.67$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 13c | 468.68$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.93 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…fc1fbacked No | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…9730backed Yes | 74c | 294.2$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…f913backed No | 14c | 227.37$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked No | 13c | 195.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 17c | 176$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 13c | 174.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…2be5backed No | 16c | 106.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +109.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed No | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tottenham beat Qarabag?this page
- Will Qarabag beat Tottenham?No won
- Will the match between Tottenham vs. Qarabag end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.