Serie A · resolved market
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92f5a2ec28908063a4c7b245c951861565bfef9b25e5d7ad80b4e2b28a6cb8e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 20,678$4,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,064.97 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a58…61f0backed No | 80c | 20,300$16,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,060 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 13,887$2,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777.41 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294a…bbbabacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 80c | 5,239$4,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.84 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 80c | 4,386$3,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.27 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598e…2305backed No | 80c | 2,552$2,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 80cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 80c | 2,348$1,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.85 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 21c | 1,602$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.42 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Yes | 5c | 1,600$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 1,277$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.92 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e41…a1c1backed No | 80c | 1,053$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.63 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 20c | 980.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 79c | 599.99$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…00d8backed Yes | 21c | 430$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed No | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 79c | 272.87$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…b1b3backed Yes | 5c | 230$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 80c | 223.81$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e0…321bbacked Yes | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 20c | 93.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…1363backed Yes | 22c | 89.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd022…1856backed Yes | 21c | 82.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a6…ca4bbacked Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 21c | 57.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 207 | 41.5%86 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 19c | 55.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 51 | 76.5%39 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bd…616cbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae71…f3b0backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 78c | 13.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.01 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-08?Yes won
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-02-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.