Serie A · resolved market
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-02-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc159eacdd3d003f3ea8f1bbb9e896a2edf808058d283f847376a901c7b9e83a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 1c | 8,110$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.46 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 9c | 5,935$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.88 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 1c | 4,525$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 12c | 4,050$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed Yes | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d4…260ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,602$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 1c | 1,349$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 11c | 1,323$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.54 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…b1acbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.29per pick | 58cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 6c | 701.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 14c | 602$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.28 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 11c | 580.43$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.85 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 11c | 543$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Yes | 12c | 464.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 12c | 453$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.36 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 13c | 180.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 12c | 160$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d0…9b7dbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Yes | 14c | 73.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-02-08?this page
- Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-08?Yes won
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.