NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa160c70dfd0833339b66f49061369a23e9e3f9cc9703acf85f2cc53fc782dc24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Trail Blazers, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $232,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $260,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Trail Blazers | 3c | 15,764$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.41 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Trail Blazers | 1c | 12,738$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.13 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Trail Blazers | 17c | 8,761$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.76 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 8,050$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.99 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Trail Blazers | 4c | 7,513$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.66 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Trail Blazers | 4c | 7,160$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.23 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…83cebacked Trail Blazers | 18c | 5,476$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Trail Blazers | 1c | 5,026$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Trail Blazers | 1c | 5,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Trail Blazers | 4c | 4,988$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.99 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53f6…7f1fbacked Nuggets | 80c | 4,727$3,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.74 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Trail Blazers | 2c | 4,337$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.47 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Trail Blazers | 1c | 3,997$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Trail Blazers | 0c | 3,480$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Trail Blazers | 5c | 3,405$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.56 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Trail Blazers | 3c | 2,936$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.6 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Trail Blazers | 25c | 2,547$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.01 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Trail Blazers | 2c | 2,413$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 2,333$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.5 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Trail Blazers | 1c | 2,025$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Trail Blazers | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a29…c90ebacked Trail Blazers | 2c | 1,980$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Trail Blazers | 1c | 1,501$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 100 | 18%18 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cca…3620backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Trail Blazers | 5c | 1,214$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Trail Blazers | 11c | 1,200$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.6 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Trail Blazers | 1c | 1,185$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Trail Blazers | 21c | 1,057$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.94 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Trail Blazers | 15c | 999.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 850$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.5 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 759.65$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.53 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 699.93$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.98 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Trail Blazers | 3c | 621.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Trail Blazers | 2c | 590.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 526.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked Trail Blazers | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd569…ff3bbacked Trail Blazers | 19c | 493.37$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.01 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 492.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f63…ea2dbacked Nuggets | 76c | 481.28$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…c0e6backed Trail Blazers | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea70…3c44backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 432.36$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x176b…a16fbacked Nuggets | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6012…7cd2backed Nuggets | 79c | 367.09$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.09 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 351.55$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 366 | 43.2%158 W · 208 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 333.29$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.21 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…c96dbacked Trail Blazers | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Nuggets | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Trail Blazers | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 345 | 51.3%177 W · 168 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…e68abacked Trail Blazers | 19c | 260.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…43a5backed Nuggets | 78c | 255.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.03 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…4641backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 252.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Trail Blazers | 25c | 245.83$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.32 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Trail Blazers | 23c | 214.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 563 | 52%293 W · 270 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Trail Blazers | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Trail Blazers | 25c | 195.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Nuggets | 76c | 180$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 351 | 65.2%229 W · 122 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Trail Blazers | 15c | 174.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Nuggets | 78c | 152.73$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Trail Blazers | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e7…dc3ebacked Nuggets | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Trail Blazers | 18c | 108.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 100.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…9d02backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Nuggets | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 388 | 45.9%178 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…53c8backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ca…54b2backed Nuggets | 78c | 97$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.47per pick | 39cpaid | +340.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 90$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 155 | 38.1%59 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Trail Blazers | 28c | 89.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Trail Blazers | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 501 | 44.7%224 W · 277 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7484…33eebacked Trail Blazers | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad63…3092backed Nuggets | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9225…a33fbacked Trail Blazers | 22c | 74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ceb…82cabacked Nuggets | 77c | 64.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae8…a385backed Nuggets | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddcb…05babacked Trail Blazers | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Nuggets | 76c | 34.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…6306backed Nuggets | 78c | 29.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0581…3085backed Nuggets | 77c | 27.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d46…ac69backed Nuggets | 76c | 26.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3762…778fbacked Nuggets | 78c | 25.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe110…0f5dbacked Nuggets | 78c | 24.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a7…b9d2backed Nuggets | 78c | 24.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf305…832abacked Nuggets | 80c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…4e45backed Nuggets | 77c | 22.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff11…cd68backed Nuggets | 77c | 22.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe274…8c22backed Nuggets | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0310…cf7bbacked Nuggets | 78c | 21.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…c8b3backed Nuggets | 78c | 20.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97d6…160fbacked Nuggets | 78c | 19.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…7076backed Nuggets | 79c | 19.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x181b…15e8backed Nuggets | 78c | 16.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…d0efbacked Nuggets | 78c | 15.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -68%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.