NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f27650aa4368cd891e8bab948a93d737a591b429282837b3a9cb336614088ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Warriors | 1c | 10,200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.57 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Celtics | 78c | 8,424$6,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853.17 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Warriors | 22c | 8,050$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Warriors | 3c | 7,921$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.07 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Warriors | 0c | 6,500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 6c | 6,356$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.79 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Warriors | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Warriors | 7c | 3,063$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Celtics | 79c | 2,948$2,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.31 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…74bbbacked Warriors | 27c | 2,786$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Warriors | 3c | 2,726$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.77 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed Warriors | 2c | 2,500$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Warriors | 1c | 2,150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Warriors | 20c | 2,043$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.56 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Celtics | 80c | 2,000$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.36 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Warriors | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Warriors | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Celtics | 78c | 1,742$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.16 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Celtics | 73c | 1,588$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.45 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5107…6c92backed Warriors | 13c | 1,200$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Warriors | 4c | 1,124$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Celtics | 79c | 1,115$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.15 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Warriors | 21c | 1,052$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.94 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Warriors | 4c | 1,030$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Celtics | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Warriors | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…846cbacked Warriors | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5c…5b0fbacked Warriors | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a0…4e12backed Warriors | 6c | 850$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Warriors | 22c | 816.98$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.16 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0280…7305backed Warriors | 8c | 800$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Celtics | 80c | 783.32$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.66 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Warriors | 3c | 745$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Celtics | 80c | 595.56$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.6 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…6bedbacked Celtics | 76c | 559.21$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Warriors | 25c | 523.89$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.88 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Warriors | 5c | 514.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 173 | 26.6%46 W · 127 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215f…e206backed Warriors | 3c | 475.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e63…5ebfbacked Warriors | 22c | 472.45$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292d…2c8dbacked Warriors | 22c | 460$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Celtics | 76c | 449.99$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Warriors | 21c | 424.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.91 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Warriors | 4c | 414$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Warriors | 21c | 406.38$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.49 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71e9…1248backed Warriors | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Warriors | 8c | 375.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…16fbbacked Warriors | 21c | 360.74$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.76 | 178 | 46.1%82 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…8058backed Warriors | 24c | 345.29$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.67 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Warriors | 21c | 321.8$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.29 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…36b5backed Celtics | 79c | 320.03$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.21 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…0ccdbacked Warriors | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Celtics | 78c | 299.98$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Warriors | 20c | 295.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 303 | 31.4%95 W · 208 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Celtics | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0c…6565backed Warriors | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -56%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b67…584fbacked Warriors | 26c | 207.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…d18cbacked Celtics | 75c | 206.96$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Celtics | 79c | 165.53$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Warriors | 21c | 164.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f09…6ed9backed Warriors | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -56%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7eb…1db9backed Celtics | 79c | 144.3$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ec…0573backed Celtics | 79c | 139.24$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…f8f9backed Celtics | 79c | 131$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Celtics | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Warriors | 25c | 121.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 168 | 25.6%43 W · 125 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Warriors | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Celtics | 78c | 107.95$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccce…2c7cbacked Warriors | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…7ff3backed Warriors | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Warriors | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87e9…67c6backed Warriors | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Celtics | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Celtics | 74c | 99.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -8.5wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc668…117fbacked Warriors | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf65…45d7backed Warriors | 21c | 95.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Warriors | 25c | 95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfac8…7a9ebacked Warriors | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x407a…4dc6backed Warriors | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Warriors | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x831b…eed5backed Warriors | 24c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Warriors | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 155 | 38.1%59 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17c7…1bdcbacked Warriors | 19c | 87.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…e26cbacked Warriors | 23c | 85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Warriors | 15c | 84.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6387…d1c2backed Warriors | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…742ebacked Warriors | 22c | 69.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53f4…8c52backed Warriors | 21c | 68.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Warriors | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 123 | 52%64 W · 59 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x381b…a350backed Warriors | 19c | 59.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…b972backed Celtics | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Celtics | 78c | 48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…646dbacked Celtics | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4e…f4d0backed Celtics | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e6…d786backed Celtics | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e5…9552backed Celtics | 79c | 25.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…1832backed Celtics | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…7c19backed Celtics | 78c | 20.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3726backed Celtics | 79c | 20.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e948backed Celtics | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed Celtics | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.