NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8ebcfb0d8a64f2b2236bbceda2320903e3c5e793bf61d2768683790f8223a6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $209,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $215,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Raptors | 50c | 8,067$4,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,036.97 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7c…69aebacked Raptors | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b5…a7dfbacked Pistons | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 33cpaid | +236.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…ffd9backed Pistons | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce0…61c9backed Pistons | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…d18cbacked Raptors | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…4cc6backed Pistons | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +124.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…ec16backed Raptors | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b0…fe32backed Pistons | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…9c2fbacked Raptors | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…8208backed Pistons | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1d…5e7cbacked Pistons | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…af87backed Raptors | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…8e55backed Raptors | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aef…0100backed Pistons | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +198.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…bd07backed Pistons | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…d5f7backed Pistons | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…d9d0backed Raptors | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc1…602fbacked Raptors | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52bf…e39abacked Raptors | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77a9…b20ebacked Raptors | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8e…7a0cbacked Pistons | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…afdabacked Raptors | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…3fe3backed Pistons | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…7bb6backed Raptors | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…5a3fbacked Pistons | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 31cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1227…2a82backed Pistons | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd4…9095backed Raptors | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60c8…31bcbacked Raptors | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 67cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Pistons | 44c | 4,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Raptors | 48c | 4,089$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945.27 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…db60backed Pistons | 49c | 2,673$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.14 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Pistons | 63c | 2,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb33…c6cfbacked Pistons | 50c | 2,042$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad59…0c2bbacked Raptors | 50c | 1,869$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5335…0b0fbacked Pistons | 45c | 1,800$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.97 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…a6cebacked Pistons | 55c | 1,471$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.91 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…46d2backed Raptors | 47c | 1,470$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +74%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Raptors | 45c | 1,377$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.77 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Raptors | 45c | 1,298$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.11 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Raptors | 3c | 1,292$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.52 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Raptors | 42c | 1,125$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.86 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c77…af46backed Raptors | 54c | 1,117$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef3b…5cefbacked Pistons | 54c | 1,020$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.79 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…3e6cbacked Raptors | 47c | 1,016$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Pistons | 49c | 1,005$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.55 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pistons | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked Pistons | 54c | 912.3$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.69 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Pistons | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Raptors | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Raptors | 44c | 799.96$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.98 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Raptors | 46c | 775.78$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.58 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3615…8a0ebacked Raptors | 44c | 760.59$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Pistons | 51c | 686.48$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.99 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f4f4backed Pistons | 55c | 686.27$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.82 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2196…3d68backed Raptors | 47c | 686.26$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.54 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7feb…6be7backed Pistons | 53c | 667.77$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.85 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Raptors | 40c | 646.33$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.42 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Raptors | 22c | 617.11$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.77 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 46c | 599.96$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.98 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…9fd5backed Raptors | 18c | 558.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked Raptors | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed Pistons | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Pistons | 54c | 467.33$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.97 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Pistons | 56c | 464.29$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.29 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fd…29e5backed Pistons | 56c | 455.36$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5132…0a83backed Pistons | 56c | 446.59$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.59 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…253cbacked Raptors | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaafb…3027backed Pistons | 55c | 404.8$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.16 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Pistons | 67c | 373.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.31 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b74…a4f4backed Raptors | 14c | 364.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Pistons | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf417…d277backed Raptors | 6c | 350$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Raptors | 51c | 321.68$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.8 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Raptors | 6c | 303.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Pistons | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Pistons | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Pistons | 55c | 298.61$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.37 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x529f…1cfabacked Pistons | 54c | 295.57$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.57 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…32f0backed Raptors | 45c | 292.53$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696b…94f5backed Pistons | 55c | 272.53$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Raptors | 52c | 260.83$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.76 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…4517backed Pistons | 56c | 257.87$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.46 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Raptors | 45c | 253.39$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.03 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Pistons | 55c | 252.36$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.56 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf489…7ef8backed Raptors | 48c | 250.88$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…f84fbacked Raptors | 43c | 210$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc818…777dbacked Raptors | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c24…5d18backed Pistons | 53c | 205.19$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +230%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f52…c254backed Raptors | 49c | 205.17$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.56 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…5862backed Pistons | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Raptors | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf8…bd02backed Pistons | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff50…de6fbacked Raptors | 51c | 197.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…292fbacked Raptors | 53c | 196$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4b…f1e6backed Pistons | 64c | 190.63$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.63 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684e…2f63backed Pistons | 55c | 182.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.56 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04fa…6c06backed Pistons | 55c | 182$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d54…2386backed Pistons | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc6…603cbacked Pistons | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.