NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8cdb8a327998e080180df6fd5626495b565d118f372edac89971ab0a6545fb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Knicks, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,239
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,239 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 294 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 12,040$6,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,867.74 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Timberwolves | 2c | 11,500$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.2 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…c487backed Knicks | 43c | 11,063$4,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,306.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7657…a5b9backed Timberwolves | 56c | 10,003$5,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,601.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…b306backed Knicks | 44c | 10,001$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x296a…125fbacked Timberwolves | 9c | 6,686$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Knicks | 44c | 4,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,260 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b3b5backed Timberwolves | 9c | 2,778$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2a…9146backed Timberwolves | 10c | 2,764$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.57 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Timberwolves | 4c | 2,010$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.83 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…9d10backed Timberwolves | 11c | 1,827$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a8…4527backed Knicks | 42c | 1,678$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Timberwolves | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…3386backed Knicks | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +139.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5c…151ebacked Knicks | 42c | 1,443$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Timberwolves | 57c | 1,404$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.28 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Knicks | 78c | 1,184$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.03 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…e88ebacked Knicks | 71c | 1,104$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.34 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Timberwolves | 5c | 1,030$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…a7efbacked Knicks | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4911…1eaabacked Timberwolves | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfda5…9bdabacked Timberwolves | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Knicks | 42c | 999.54$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.98 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f5…1c1abacked Timberwolves | 55c | 990$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…e250backed Knicks | 45c | 980$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Knicks | 43c | 899.93$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.96 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…3d0cbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 772.9$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Knicks | 39c | 760.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.74 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 685.49$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.55 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Knicks | 46c | 676.53$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.91 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…85a6backed Timberwolves | 57c | 614.04$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ceb…0c87backed Knicks | 43c | 598.84$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.34 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Knicks | 65c | 556.46$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.67 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…695dbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 543$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520b…d8aebacked Knicks | 43c | 543$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Timberwolves | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Timberwolves | 58c | 517$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.68 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Timberwolves | 56c | 508.93$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.01 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Timberwolves | 7c | 507$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ae…3327backed Timberwolves | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5311…512ebacked Knicks | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Knicks | 43c | 487$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.04 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Timberwolves | 62c | 448$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.76 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e53…670ebacked Knicks | 44c | 446$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.76 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 36cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…bd4fbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 436$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Knicks | 43c | 432.73$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.66 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Timberwolves | 57c | 395.08$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.95 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Timberwolves | 57c | 360.83$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.14 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Knicks | 43c | 349.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.45 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Timberwolves | 60c | 330.97$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.58 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Timberwolves | 56c | 319.97$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.18 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Knicks | 45c | 312.42$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.42 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…902bbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 306.61$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43d3…ed8dbacked Timberwolves | 33c | 302.11$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe635…0fccbacked Knicks | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…9f3abacked Timberwolves | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Timberwolves | 55c | 299.52$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.27 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…e26cbacked Knicks | 43c | 296.77$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.16 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Timberwolves | 35c | 292.09$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.59 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Timberwolves | 57c | 280.7$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Timberwolves | 69c | 274.06$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.1 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7624…03b7backed Timberwolves | 55c | 270$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Knicks | 38c | 268.4$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.6 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Knicks | 42c | 259.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.2 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Timberwolves | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Knicks | 45c | 254.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.99 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Timberwolves | 58c | 250$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.81 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e7…2a0bbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc68a…0e4abacked Knicks | 43c | 241.54$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Timberwolves | 65c | 230.64$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.45 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8eb…c973backed Knicks | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…2ab4backed Timberwolves | 62c | 223.16$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Knicks | 43c | 222.02$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.44 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Timberwolves | 57c | 208.32$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.74 | 186 | 66.1%123 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ee…68f3backed Knicks | 44c | 204.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Timberwolves | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Timberwolves | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6a…5726backed Timberwolves | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…b4bfbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c17…1f3ebacked Knicks | 43c | 199.98$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65dc…0b11backed Knicks | 34c | 190.2$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.64 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Timberwolves | 65c | 189.92$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.55 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Timberwolves | 28c | 150.72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…adf1backed Timberwolves | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…cc43backed Knicks | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Knicks | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 298 | 44%131 W · 167 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5e…7656backed Timberwolves | 57c | 106.32$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Timberwolves | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365a…698cbacked Knicks | 44c | 104.55$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Timberwolves | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Timberwolves | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 229 | 55.9%128 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Timberwolves | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 119 | 34.5%41 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Knicks | 43c | 99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Timberwolves | 57c | 96.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43dd…5291backed Knicks | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…2bd3backed Timberwolves | 15c | 90.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd313…3befbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 88.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…2ba8backed Knicks | 44c | 86.36$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e5…316dbacked Knicks | 44c | 81.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…5038backed Knicks | 44c | 80.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.17 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.