TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Giants vs. Diamondbacks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Giantsof Giants, Diamondbacks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$303,265
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$358,325

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $303,265 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb786…b18dbacked Diamondbacks5c53,246$2,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,662.321,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Giants53c29,540$15,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,88486751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Diamondbacks20c16,941$3,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,419.891,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Diamondbacks47c15,574$7,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,319.755053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x343d…456ebacked Diamondbacks46c14,530$6,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,648.413360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Diamondbacks46c13,764$6,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,331.4450852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc605…d372backed Giants66c11,541$7,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,940.998641.9%36 W · 50 L-15.3wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-32.4%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Diamondbacks48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.9953150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Giants52c8,969$4,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,276.0298149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Giants52c8,222$4,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,946.637450%37 W · 37 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Giants54c6,612$3,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,049.8744456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Giants54c5,834$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,683.6460249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Diamondbacks47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35041850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Diamondbacks46c4,500$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,069.9949250.4%248 W · 244 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Diamondbacks47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8801,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Giants53c3,396$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,596.2369249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Giants55c2,727$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.2732852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Diamondbacks12c2,299$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.5618837.8%71 W · 117 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Diamondbacks19c2,219$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.8210033%33 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Diamondbacks48c2,060$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.4171751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Diamondbacks1c1,881$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.665053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Diamondbacks11c1,762$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.1940547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants52c1,733$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.232,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Diamondbacks1c1,561$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.434754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Giants53c1,514$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.7366645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Giants52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7208749.4%43 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Giants54c1,420$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65326949.4%133 W · 136 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Diamondbacks30c1,403$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.497950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Diamondbacks1c1,376$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.132825%7 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10e1…5d54backed Giants51c1,330$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.71181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick51cpaid+61.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcc29…c1c1backed Diamondbacks49c1,330$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.71250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5e…bc55backed Giants51c1,200$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.671154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a88…68b2backed Diamondbacks49c1,200$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5881172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+46.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Giants52c1,200$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5768156.8%46 W · 35 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Diamondbacks1c1,200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.35852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff24…76c1backed Giants52c1,138$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.089332.3%30 W · 63 L-16.8wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-36.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Diamondbacks14c1,116$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15527213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Diamondbacks47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50073352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8104…ce10backed Diamondbacks49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-54.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6efd…aa49backed Diamondbacks49c1,008$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.92450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc2b…9c41backed Giants51c1,004$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.96560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Diamondbacks47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a9f…23f5backed Giants51c996$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.04650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedba…3279backed Diamondbacks49c992$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.08425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf59…ff38backed Giants52c942.31$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.31771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+58.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Diamondbacks3c926$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.878762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks13c905.29$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.539,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1c6…7624backed Diamondbacks2c773.44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.917463.5%47 W · 27 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Giants52c772.03$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.5745248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Diamondbacks21c765.62$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.8227733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Giants55c703.53$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.6261346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Diamondbacks47c665.98$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.0131346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Diamondbacks48c599.96$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.9824248.8%118 W · 124 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3f5…32aebacked Giants55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.455358.5%31 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Diamondbacks46c536.42$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.431,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Diamondbacks46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23095850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc6ec…875cbacked Giants53c499.99$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2351442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Giants54c476$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.9626355.5%146 W · 117 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Diamondbacks6c451$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0626847.4%127 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6111…c02fbacked Diamondbacks21c415.26$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.035939%23 W · 36 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Diamondbacks3c406.62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbc…a89cbacked Diamondbacks45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe17…98e9backed Giants51c350.92$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.951471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Giants78c334.23$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9780680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xb091…2017backed Diamondbacks13c316.23$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1131254.5%170 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Diamondbacks47c308$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.391,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Diamondbacks48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1442,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a90…8218backed Diamondbacks15c293.48$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4524751%126 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b2c…284cbacked Giants54c277.38$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.3828453.9%153 W · 131 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3585…1cd9backed Giants52c267.31$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.311540%6 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Diamondbacks47c260$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.21,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Diamondbacks12c255.48$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5110527.6%29 W · 76 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Giants51c235.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2925954.1%140 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Giants54c218$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.2840548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Diamondbacks47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Diamondbacks47c211.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.632,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Diamondbacks48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Giants68c205.22$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2238743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Giants55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Diamondbacks50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014753.7%79 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5874…a9d7backed Diamondbacks15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024953%132 W · 117 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Giants52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3112451.6%64 W · 60 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Giants55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae7f…59a7backed Diamondbacks48c137.6$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.053548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8910…c9b6backed Diamondbacks47c134.62$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.53345.5%15 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9295…04f3backed Giants54c126.02$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.973348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Giants48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x034c…4f69backed Diamondbacks52c125$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x758c…6730backed Giants54c124.87$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.443063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x232e…b1eebacked Giants77c120.36$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.551190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.23per pick67cpaid+33.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Giants53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.488549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf14d…4c11backed Giants53c116.06$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.553447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa588…2972backed Giants54c115.94$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.333348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Diamondbacks47c115.69$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3731145.7%142 W · 169 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Diamondbacks12c115.39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.344,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Giants54c114.81$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.816946.4%32 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6703…24a6backed Diamondbacks48c110.67$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.123534.3%12 W · 23 L-5.9wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-29.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe1ef…11edbacked Giants72c109.14$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.56450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-26.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc615…9f26backed Diamondbacks13c107.69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147025.7%18 W · 52 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cbb…487dbacked Giants53c106.75$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.173458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.