TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Red Sox vs. Braves

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Red Soxof Red Sox, Braves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,259
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$143,224

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,259 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x647d…5ce1backed Red Sox54c30,151$16,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,869.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6bd7…bd45backed Braves46c29,876$13,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,742.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Braves50c14,725$7,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,314.4624551.8%127 W · 118 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Braves16c10,391$1,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,688.112,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Red Sox50c4,120$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,060.211,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Braves16c3,728$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.9497950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcce…136abacked Braves24c3,454$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82929240.8%119 W · 173 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Sox51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4701,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Red Sox74c3,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7809862.2%61 W · 37 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Red Sox51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.9898149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Braves25c2,677$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.129,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dfc…b032backed Red Sox55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9002958.6%17 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Red Sox52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96069249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9244…b955backed Braves45c1,991$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.943250%16 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Braves31c1,947$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.441,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Red Sox77c1,550$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.293759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb091…2017backed Red Sox68c1,480$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.6331254.5%170 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Red Sox53c1,458$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.4871751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Braves45c1,110$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.4888549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Braves47c1,110$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.5976456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34f3…e75bbacked Red Sox79c1,010$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.561668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Braves47c956.97$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.7733349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38bc…c0a2backed Red Sox72c698.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.89666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Red Sox54c686.64$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.855,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Braves17c681.76$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11395930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Braves19c601.9$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4740547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Braves47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28220450.5%103 W · 101 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Braves50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30042452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…7d12backed Braves46c543.48$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018247.8%87 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Braves45c499.97$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.9993240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Braves13c487.84$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe142…86d5backed Red Sox53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.71752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60a1…a8e1backed Red Sox55c447.27$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.2715949.7%79 W · 80 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Braves46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Braves49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20091749.9%458 W · 459 L-3.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6979…d7a2backed Red Sox55c334.55$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.552661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked Red Sox55c334.5$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.5223753.2%126 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Braves4c330$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.22488.9%22 W · 226 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-77.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Braves25c319.95$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.84,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Braves48c306$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.887544%33 W · 42 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1d…c011backed Braves29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8713848.6%67 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe25e…0aa5backed Braves48c299.99$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9914549.7%72 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade3…c17dbacked Braves46c275$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Braves11c274.4$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.391,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f9a…06d0backed Red Sox74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2717866.3%118 W · 60 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Braves25c239.88$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.941,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd386…1887backed Braves46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019233.3%64 W · 128 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Braves49c205.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017136.8%63 W · 108 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Red Sox52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Red Sox53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9465549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Red Sox53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9419849.5%98 W · 100 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Braves48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9625835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.312,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb46d…7093backed Braves22c186.33$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8412335%43 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfa…d8d2backed Red Sox54c183.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.93633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61bb…e54bbacked Red Sox52c159.62$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.623554.3%19 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Red Sox79c151.82$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8810834.3%37 W · 71 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Braves50c148.76$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.79947.5%47 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c8…e7acbacked Red Sox73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Red Sox68c132.5$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1415256.6%86 W · 66 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6ec…875cbacked Red Sox52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.381442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Braves47c109$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1824250.8%123 W · 119 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Braves47c108.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7740352.4%211 W · 192 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5505…3a83backed Braves46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010552.4%55 W · 50 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Braves14c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.538741.1%159 W · 228 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97da…d63bbacked Braves43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.518052.5%42 W · 38 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed Red Sox50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5020448%98 W · 106 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94a7…f88dbacked Braves49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked Braves44c99.54$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.89448.9%46 W · 48 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Red Sox54c96.16$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.231,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacaf…abaabacked Red Sox55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.911855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedb0…8de9backed Red Sox56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.29988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick63cpaid+41.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9376…1655backed Red Sox72c80.28$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4820649.5%102 W · 104 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb130…6ee2backed Red Sox55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7312249.2%60 W · 62 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2399…2332backed Red Sox57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.189950.5%50 W · 49 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9228…e41abacked Braves44c70$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.817732.8%58 W · 119 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Braves16c67.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7743250.7%219 W · 213 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Braves47c64.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.261,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f19…72d9backed Red Sox54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.641649%204 W · 212 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Braves46c58.59$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.952,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Red Sox52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6952542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0539…77bdbacked Red Sox55c52.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.52540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fb3…4393backed Red Sox65c47.82$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.822673.1%19 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Braves48c47.77$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9349450%247 W · 247 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Braves46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Red Sox55c41.82$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8218951.3%97 W · 92 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1726…3986backed Braves48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206347.6%30 W · 33 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeac7…fec6backed Red Sox52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.29150.5%46 W · 45 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x28e2…ab8fbacked Red Sox55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1813260.6%80 W · 52 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Red Sox55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3669547.5%330 W · 365 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a6a…5318backed Red Sox68c35.3$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+82.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Red Sox53c34.27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1185047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc865…f5d9backed Red Sox55c30.09$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+8.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Braves43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.91,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c0…1480backed Red Sox61c29.85$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.721968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick68cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed Red Sox55c28.53$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8414654.8%80 W · 66 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1d4…2f06backed Red Sox74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.03250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17ab…cdcbbacked Red Sox70c24.84$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4512862.5%80 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb64f…3237backed Braves45c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.816846.4%78 W · 90 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf5…31f9backed Red Sox52c23.32$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1922445.5%102 W · 122 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.