CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Brute vs HyperSpirit - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e64e13eba4820ac955f12d02eb124e1654f2f78192e712f8f9bf96a28e14c56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruteof Brute, HyperSpirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Brute | 25c | 996.47$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.35 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Brute | 57c | 873.77$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.77 | 113 | 61.1%69 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…a627backed Brute | 31c | 539.21$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.49 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.36per pick | 46cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked HyperSpirit | 12c | 523.08$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Brute | 4c | 485.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.06 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Brute | 4c | 300$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +211.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Brute | 35c | 250$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.5 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed HyperSpirit | 70c | 190.47$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.51 | 524 | 56.3%295 W · 229 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed HyperSpirit | 66c | 151.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 252 | 52.8%133 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed HyperSpirit | 52c | 151.78$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.93 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Brute | 64c | 95$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Brute | 60c | 92.3$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed HyperSpirit | 39c | 83.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Brute | 44c | 45.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…d906backed HyperSpirit | 57c | 39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee8…6c2ebacked HyperSpirit | 58c | 37.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Brute | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…c6c7backed HyperSpirit | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Brute | 53c | 30.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed HyperSpirit | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f27…fb8cbacked Brute | 70c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…9757backed HyperSpirit | 48c | 26.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda8…e2ffbacked HyperSpirit | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Brute | 65c | 21.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked Brute | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Brute vs HyperSpirit - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Brute vs HyperSpirit (BO3)HyperSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Brute vs HyperSpirit - Map 2 WinnerHyperSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.