CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Rooster (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38d6f557366064ea9d0e6e1301b338d8325aeee6b729c74a1fe572da45f00fb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rare Atomof Rare Atom, Rooster
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7bea…d593backed Rooster | 28c | 2,336$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63b5…1e6fbacked Rare Atom | 72c | 1,877$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…b287backed Rooster | 4c | 1,583$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03a0…fdbbbacked Rare Atom | 72c | 1,073$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +39%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c4…e069backed Rooster | 24c | 855$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rare Atom | 71c | 820.9$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.79 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dbc…907abacked Rare Atom | 76c | 691$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe044…1b1abacked Rooster | 28c | 544$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9258…6458backed Rooster | 28c | 529$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79a6…3152backed Rare Atom | 72c | 458$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed Rooster | 29c | 267.93$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Rooster | 29c | 213.16$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Rooster | 29c | 212.95$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Rooster | 29c | 186.69$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…1cabbacked Rare Atom | 76c | 164$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Rare Atom | 71c | 60.16$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rooster | 27c | 52.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Rare Atom | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…d5b0backed Rare Atom | 74c | 27.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…e152backed Rare Atom | 73c | 23.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee8…6c2ebacked Rare Atom | 74c | 15.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.