Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfffa8b5fa40f23178c63f7b12418f2a955115b78992d7d8a5f8555dd1ab0749a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof BetBoom Team, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 6,206$3,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,693.52 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked BetBoom Team | 47c | 5,178$2,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,451 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed BetBoom Team | 47c | 4,372$2,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.24 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked BetBoom Team | 39c | 2,996$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.79 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 2,553$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.5 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed BetBoom Team | 42c | 2,405$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 2,066$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.92 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 2,025$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.49 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…e310backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 2,009$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.79 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 1,484$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.86 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…0338backed BetBoom Team | 42c | 1,285$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.63 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 1,256$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.82 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked BetBoom Team | 2c | 1,200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a9…36bbbacked BetBoom Team | 35c | 1,193$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.59 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 1,000$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed BetBoom Team | 42c | 799.98$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.99 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed BetBoom Team | 45c | 799.74$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed BetBoom Team | 44c | 505.14$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked BetBoom Team | 42c | 433.33$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Tundra Esports | 79c | 430.77$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc1…ca19backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 400.03$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.01 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…46ddbacked BetBoom Team | 40c | 376.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 319.84$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.15 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 311.32$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.19 | 205 | 56.1%115 W · 90 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked BetBoom Team | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee8…6c2ebacked Tundra Esports | 74c | 243.55$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.32 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb382…c498backed BetBoom Team | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Tundra Esports | 72c | 222.26$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.23 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08c…e03cbacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked BetBoom Team | 21c | 200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cd…e2abbacked BetBoom Team | 45c | 198.2$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.19 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 158$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 130$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…f3a0backed BetBoom Team | 40c | 129.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d54…8d9abacked BetBoom Team | 38c | 102.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Tundra Esports | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed BetBoom Team | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked BetBoom Team | 36c | 93.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed BetBoom Team | 37c | 89.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked BetBoom Team | 37c | 79.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd553…d677backed BetBoom Team | 38c | 62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 56.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked BetBoom Team | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked BetBoom Team | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76c4…5811backed BetBoom Team | 38c | 27.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 19.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Tundra Esports (BO3)Tundra Esports won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.