Euroleague · resolved market
Virtus Bologna vs. BC Dubai
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9433fe1024051f8e0dc1691afb1934471dd55d24210044ddfda8a492e6822a66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus Bolognaof Virtus Bologna, BC Dubai
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Virtus Bologna | 45c | 2,928$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.05 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked BC Dubai | 39c | 1,795$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.05 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked BC Dubai | 57c | 1,166$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.17 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Virtus Bologna | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3436…17c5backed Virtus Bologna | 51c | 757.33$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Virtus Bologna | 36c | 712.1$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.01 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed BC Dubai | 57c | 631.47$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.5 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Virtus Bologna | 47c | 607.01$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.86 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked BC Dubai | 57c | 569.91$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.69 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked BC Dubai | 35c | 396.18$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.55 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Virtus Bologna | 47c | 334.74$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.38 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked BC Dubai | 35c | 331.63$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.62 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Virtus Bologna | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65be…1c83backed BC Dubai | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Virtus Bologna | 57c | 190.56$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.56 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed BC Dubai | 50c | 189.58$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.68 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked BC Dubai | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Virtus Bologna | 64c | 141$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed BC Dubai | 72c | 111.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked BC Dubai | 37c | 103.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Virtus Bologna | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed BC Dubai | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed BC Dubai | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Virtus Bologna | 57c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa958…c06cbacked Virtus Bologna | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +93%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a09…cdffbacked BC Dubai | 61c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb25…0e5bbacked Virtus Bologna | 57c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Virtus Bologna | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Virtus Bologna | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Virtus Bologna | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Virtus Bologna | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 70cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Virtus Bologna | 60c | 27.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf08…f276backed Virtus Bologna | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.