CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Lynn Vision (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x245f16254a8889f5922c24fab76970ce493dd0c3ff7134a0ffd7af5f538083af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 3DMAXof 3DMAX, Lynn Vision
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Lynn Vision | 9c | 2,267$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.08 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2b…d2d4backed 3DMAX | 70c | 1,554$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Lynn Vision | 30c | 1,520$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.39 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked 3DMAX | 76c | 655.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.19 | 252 | 61.5%155 W · 97 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lynn Vision | 31c | 539.97$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.99 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed 3DMAX | 68c | 360$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed 3DMAX | 69c | 337.8$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.72 | 196 | 60.7%119 W · 77 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26f7…8e2ebacked Lynn Vision | 32c | 275$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…45debacked Lynn Vision | 33c | 254.75$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Lynn Vision | 15c | 230.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Lynn Vision | 32c | 175$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Lynn Vision | 13c | 169.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Lynn Vision | 18c | 140$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Lynn Vision | 32c | 110$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed 3DMAX | 70c | 92.49$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Lynn Vision | 16c | 90$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Lynn Vision | 31c | 87.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lynn Vision | 30c | 87.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed 3DMAX | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 377 | 52%196 W · 181 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Lynn Vision | 21c | 82.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 225 | 56%126 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f22…be14backed 3DMAX | 68c | 66.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a2…93f0backed 3DMAX | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed 3DMAX | 54c | 53.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 211 | 41.7%88 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…ca86backed 3DMAX | 75c | 53.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 206 | 59.2%122 W · 84 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed 3DMAX | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked 3DMAX | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed 3DMAX | 67c | 49.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed 3DMAX | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 283 | 46.6%132 W · 151 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…01a9backed 3DMAX | 77c | 18.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.