College Football · resolved market
Spread: Georgia (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x060546ee5b923b4d485bbaacf3f9c7801efc710c084dd23ced9a31334ea8e38e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alabamaof Georgia, Alabama
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Georgia | 41c | 2,438$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.77 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f89…0d03backed Alabama | 59c | 2,408$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.47 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Alabama | 56c | 305.36$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.36 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Georgia | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Alabama | 56c | 255.4$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.57 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Alabama | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x752f…9332backed Georgia | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x231a…2597backed Georgia | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Alabama | 58c | 168$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Alabama | 77c | 129.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Georgia | 42c | 123.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8874…0b31backed Alabama | 60c | 121.8$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8c…672ebacked Georgia | 23c | 116.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Alabama | 56c | 102.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…c716backed Georgia | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Alabama | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked Georgia | 42c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Georgia | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa982…6c34backed Georgia | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab9…c906backed Alabama | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…1d65backed Alabama | 60c | 26.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Georgia | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Georgia (-3.5)this page
- Alabama vs. GeorgiaAlabama won
- O/U 52.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.