Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb993e2225362635ff15b5967b94eaa52170df14f776e5ce0538dff8c12cd523
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Go Ahead Eaglesof Aston Villa FC, Go Ahead Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Aston Villa FC | 44c | 9,999$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.76 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Go Ahead Eagles | 56c | 5,512$3,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,425.28 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Go Ahead Eagles | 56c | 5,414$3,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,407.36 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Go Ahead Eagles | 52c | 2,305$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.41 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Aston Villa FC | 49c | 816.18$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.79 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Aston Villa FC | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Aston Villa FC | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Go Ahead Eagles | 54c | 499.81$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.91 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Aston Villa FC | 46c | 432.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ea…d556backed Aston Villa FC | 48c | 380$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Aston Villa FC | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Aston Villa FC | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed Aston Villa FC | 45c | 175$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167c…a88bbacked Aston Villa FC | 47c | 146$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Aston Villa FC | 46c | 113$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.93 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…36cbbacked Aston Villa FC | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…c716backed Aston Villa FC | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Go Ahead Eagles | 54c | 98.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.17 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Aston Villa FC | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Aston Villa FC | 46c | 61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Aston Villa FC | 49c | 51.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Aston Villa FC | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…0b1bbacked Go Ahead Eagles | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd54…3a0cbacked Aston Villa FC | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5387…b792backed Aston Villa FC | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Aston Villa FC | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x557f…efa5backed Go Ahead Eagles | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Aston Villa FC | 42c | 26.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -11.8wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)this page
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.