Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Liverpool (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x909434aea0a7cad707db657e4b0d05a3fb716af4486cdcb9a86d0f055329b4fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brentfordof Liverpool, Brentford
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Brentford | 70c | 14,368$10,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,298.28 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Liverpool | 30c | 13,378$4,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,012.26 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Brentford | 69c | 5,742$3,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.71 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Liverpool | 30c | 3,750$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Liverpool | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Liverpool | 31c | 650$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.5 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…cb71backed Liverpool | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa80…79ebbacked Liverpool | 32c | 190$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2abb…aeccbacked Liverpool | 32c | 155.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa740…ee18backed Liverpool | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e34…fe96backed Liverpool | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Brentford | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e2…6bb2backed Liverpool | 18c | 140$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Liverpool | 31c | 122.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Brentford | 68c | 121.7$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…c716backed Liverpool | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Liverpool | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…c8c2backed Brentford | 71c | 98.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Liverpool | 34c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd7…4074backed Liverpool | 32c | 56.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93c6…d9dbbacked Liverpool | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d7…8b82backed Brentford | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +55%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Liverpool | 30c | 49.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Liverpool | 35c | 43.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9c…2c3abacked Liverpool | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Brentford | 66c | 29.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x808b…48c8backed Liverpool | 35c | 28.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Brentford | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Liverpool (-1.5)this page
- Brentford vs. Liverpool: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brentford vs. Liverpool: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.